Video
What Happens if Australia, Canada & the UK go all in on the Invincibles in the 1970s? (Patreon Live)
Study What Happens if Australia, Canada & the UK go all in on the Invincibles in the 1970s? (Patreon Live), a Dr. Alex Clarke video from 21 May 2026, with 66 time notes. Topics include Air Defence, Airborne Early…
Time notes
- 3:47Why the program starts with four, two, and twoChapter
Readiness, spending, and alliance roles produce a four-two-two Commonwealth fleet, with India as a plausible later customer.
- 9:19CVA-01 leaves a carrier-policy gapChapter
CVA-01's cancellation removed both Britain's planned mobile air-power base and the Type 82 command-escort path intended to anchor future task groups.
- 13:42NATO's German front wins the budget fightNotable Point
The F-111 and carrier decisions reveal a government concentrating money on the British Army of the Rhine while leaving much of the Atlantic battle to the United States.
- 15:23CVA-01 deck studies and Invincible's single islandNotable Point
CVA-01's deck studies, wartime lessons about cramped islands, and a cruiser-to-helicopter-cruiser evolution all feed the design culture that produced Invincible.
- 20:12Real Invincibles set the technical baselineChapter
The historical Invincible class is established as a 16,000-ton light, 22,000-ton full-load through-deck cruiser with Sea Dart, sonar, Harriers, and an ASW-heavy air group.
- 20:56Sea Wolf upgrades advance at the rate funding allowsNotable Point
Sea Wolf's gradual introduction reflects the cost and pace of fleet modernization.
- 25:41Invincible protects Norway reinforcement and Atlantic ASW groupsChapter
Invincible's original missions centre on reinforcing Norway, identifying aircraft in grey-zone conditions, and coordinating helicopters that protect Atlantic sea lanes from submarines leaking past the forward battle.
- 30:52Procurement restraint disguises fixed-wing potentialNotable Point
Deck parking and flight-deck combat air patrol offered capability beyond the narrow justification used to secure fixed-wing aircraft for the helicopter-cruiser program.
- 35:15Australia and Canada need different carrier argumentsNotable Point
Australia can argue for defensive depth around a continent-sized maritime problem, while Canada must show that a modest carrier contribution still matters beside the United States Navy.
- 37:16Australian carrier aviation and defensive depthNotable Point
Carrier aviation, Collins-class submarines, and AUKUS are compared through the aim of keeping threats farther from Australia's shores.
- 39:15Rebuilding a navy requires time and industrial capacityNotable Point
World War I and World War II mobilization depended on allied protection and industrial capacity that a future fleet expansion cannot take for granted.
- 42:14Sea Harrier logic makes the hull and mission growNotable Point
A more ambitious Sea Harrier supplies the flight-deck, export, survivable-basing, radar, and missile arguments for turning the through-deck cruiser into a more capable carrier.
- 46:06Sea Harrier radar and missile developmentNotable Point
Early plans for beyond-visual-range combat led to a later radar and missile capability beyond the Sea Harrier's original identification role.
- 48:39Soviet blue-water growth changes the alliance calculationChapter
Kievs, Kirovs, and Admiral Gorshkov's blue-water expansion create a peacetime presence problem that submarines alone cannot answer and expose the cost of allied naval contraction.
- 57:39QuestionWhy could Britain not take over an Iranian order for three Invincible-class ships and redirect carriers to Australia and Canada?AnswerQ&A
Because Iran had not reached a real three-ship Invincible order that Britain could seize or redirect.
- 58:09QuestionWhy did the Invincible class not extend the flight deck fully over the stern?AnswerQ&A
Deck organization, helicopter landing spots, and the operating needs of Harriers shaped the stern arrangement.
- 58:32QuestionBesides Britain and Australia, would India or Iran be likely to buy enlarged Invincibles?AnswerQ&A
India is the strong candidate, while Iran's force needs, American alignment, and lack of a firm historical order make an Iranian purchase unlikely.
- 1:00:59QuestionWas HMS Ocean essentially an Invincible hull reused for an amphibious helicopter carrier?AnswerQ&A
No. Ocean shared design ancestry and visual traits with Invincible but used an evolved, commercialized hull tailored to amphibious work.
- 1:01:38QuestionWould these carriers receive a naval or V/STOL version of Eurofighter?AnswerQ&A
No. These ships would remain V/STOL carriers, and a Eurofighter conversion would demand an extensive redesign Britain is not expected to fund.
- 1:02:03QuestionBeyond India, which navies might join an eight-ship Invincible production program?AnswerQ&A
Brazil is a possible customer, but France, Spain, and Italy are more likely to build their own carriers while still buying Harriers or borrowing design ideas.
- 1:07:06QuestionCould the United States Navy buy an Invincible variant as a Sea Control Ship?AnswerQ&A
Probably not, because the Sea Control Ship concept had become exceptionally politically contentious inside US naval procurement.
- 1:08:49QuestionHow elaborate was Invincible's fuel management, and how much came from CVA-01?AnswerQ&A
The explanation emphasizes extensive fuel-safety engineering driven by a past carrier fire. It does not quantify a direct transfer from CVA-01.
- 1:09:53QuestionDid the Royal Navy want a missile or strike-cruiser version of the Invincible class?AnswerQ&A
Not really. Separate strike-cruiser ideas existed, but Invincible's design path remained that of a helicopter cruiser.
- 1:10:09QuestionCould Invincible be optimized as a V/STOL carrier while remaining below 25,000 tons?AnswerQ&A
Yes, some improvement was possible, especially with deck-edge lifts, but the answer depends on whether the limit means light or full-load displacement.
- 1:10:34QuestionHow could the carrier's evolution be pitched so that governments would approve and fund it?AnswerQ&A
Present it as organic air power for alliance support, deployments without secure bases, disaster relief, visible deterrence, and conflict prevention.
- 1:11:26QuestionWould a supersonic Harrier bring the United States into the program before the Falklands War?AnswerQ&A
Not as a full early buyer, because the United States still regarded V/STOL as somewhat gimmicky, though interest and cooperation would probably increase.
- 1:12:28QuestionWhat tonnage or capability marks the useful range for a light carrier?AnswerQ&A
The categories follow sustainable air missions: roughly 36 aircraft can support two mission sets, while about 54 moves a ship into fleet-carrier territory.
- 1:14:49QuestionHow many carriers would be needed to keep one ready for either Canadian coast?AnswerQ&A
About six would be the practical minimum for reliable two-coast readiness.
- 1:14:58QuestionWill the Royal Navy operate catapult carriers again within the questioner's lifetime?AnswerQ&A
Probably not, although the forecast is expressly uncertain.
- 1:15:19QuestionWould a law requiring the Royal Navy to maintain three carriers secure the force in the way a statutory minimum does in the United States?AnswerQ&A
It might preserve the stated number, but governments would probably find creative ways to meet the letter of the law.
- 1:15:40QuestionHow many aircraft are needed to maintain continuous airborne coverage?AnswerQ&A
Four can keep one airborne and one on alert, six can maintain two airborne, and eight provide more margin. The later clarification specifies four helicopters for AEW.
- 1:16:34QuestionWas Illustrious's weapon-handling system reused in the Queen Elizabeth class?AnswerQ&A
No. Queen Elizabeth uses an entirely new automated weapon-handling system.
- 1:19:00Sea Eagle gives eight carriers a Soviet-raider missionChapter
American pressure to contain Soviet surface raiders, combined with Sea Harrier-launched Sea Eagle missiles, supplies the mission and readiness arithmetic for four British, two Canadian, and two Australian carriers.
- 1:24:51The 30,000-ton light-load InvincibleChapter
The alternate ship becomes a 30,000-ton light, 38,000-ton full-load carrier with three shafts, redundant generators, Sea Dart, Sea Wolf, and a 48-aircraft group.
- 1:30:18Sea King AEW wins the procurement argumentNotable Point
An existing Sea King-family AEW solution beats new tilt-wing or fixed-wing aircraft because it meets the threat with common training, logistics, and production.
- 1:31:30QuestionWhy use the six-round Sea Wolf launcher instead of the quicker-reloading two-round proposal?AnswerQ&A
The Royal Navy would probably order more of the six-round launcher already in procurement for Type 22s, avoiding another Treasury approval process and retaining six ready missiles.
- 1:32:34Two Sea Harrier squadrons share patrol and strike readinessNotable Point
Two squadrons of twelve could sustain a four-aircraft patrol while sharing the task of keeping strike aircraft ready on deck.
- 1:36:42Deck-edge lifts compete with North Sea experienceNotable Point
A larger hull makes deck-edge lifts attractive, but Royal Navy confidence in centreline lifts during rough northern seas could produce a conservative mixed arrangement.
- 1:39:07QuestionWhy favour Sea King AEW if the Dynavert could carry Searchwater?AnswerQ&A
The radar fit is conceivable, but the three countries already support Sea King-family aircraft. Converting those avoids funding another aircraft type and its support system.
- 1:40:06Eight carriers reshape the Harrier production ecosystemChapter
A fleet of eight large Invincibles could raise Sea Harrier production above 300 aircraft, sustain British development, and pull later US, Spanish, and Italian variants toward the fighter rather than ground-attack line.
- 1:47:20Falklands air defence changes sharplyChapter
Forty to forty-eight Sea Harriers, eight AEW helicopters, and Sea Wolf self-defence could deny Argentina the surprise and access that made historical attacks so costly.
- 1:47:33Sortie distance and pilot fatigue in the FalklandsNotable Point
Shorter flights from carriers reduced one source of strain compared with the repeated long sorties flown by Argentine pilots.
- 1:49:14AEW changes the proposed Falklands patrol lineNotable Point
An expanded AEW and fighter force could support separate patrols for the forward screen, carriers, and amphibious ships.
- 1:57:41Four Invincibles create a different successor fleetChapter
A four-carrier Royal Navy is more likely to retain Harriers, build two Oceans, order three Queen Elizabeth-class replacements, and keep Australia, Canada, or India involved in the next carrier generation.
- 2:03:51Carrier groups pull Type 42 and Type 23 numbers upwardChapter
Supporting four carriers could push the Royal Navy toward about sixteen Type 42 air-defence destroyers and eighteen Type 23 ASW frigates, with a possible combined Sea Dart and Sea Wolf escort.
- 2:04:32QuestionWhat escort arrangement did Britain envisage for its task groups in this period?AnswerQ&A
The theoretical aim was three air-defence and three ASW escorts, although that strength was rarely achieved. Submarine protection in Britain required additional ships.
- 2:08:01QuestionCould a Canadian carrier deal include CL-84 Dynaverts for airborne early warning or other aviation roles?AnswerQ&A
They could serve as transports or AEW platforms, but the extra aircraft program and support costs make adoption unlikely.
- 2:08:49QuestionWhy did Royal Navy ships use Exocet and Harpoon instead of Sea Eagle?AnswerQ&A
Exocet and then Harpoon were already available, so adopting them avoided paying to fit Sea Eagle for shipboard use.
- 2:09:04QuestionWould wider Sea Eagle use lead to ship- or submarine-launched versions replacing Exocet and Harpoon?AnswerQ&A
Probably not, because Exocet and Harpoon were already available, avoided new integration costs, and carried alliance-political value.
- 2:09:45QuestionCould a carrier carrying both Sea Dart and Sea Wolf receive a modification that solved Sea Dart fire control problems over land clutter?AnswerQ&A
Probably not before combat losses; AEW and forward positioning help, but known exercise problems often remain unfunded until failure makes them politically urgent.
- 2:10:56QuestionWould the alternate Falklands force require more Atlantic Conveyor-style merchant-aircraft transports?AnswerQ&A
Probably not; more Sea Harrier air cover could shift the reinforcement need toward ground-support helicopters rather than additional carrier conversions.
- 2:12:07QuestionWhy fit a ski jump if it appears to prevent other aircraft types from operating?AnswerQ&A
The ski jump is not the barrier; the absence of catapults and arresting gear is. The ramp lets STOVL aircraft launch more efficiently from a short deck.
- 2:13:45QuestionHow would the scenario handle the Italian restriction on naval operation of fixed-wing aircraft?AnswerQ&A
Italy would either change the law or have the air force operate aircraft from the navy's carriers once the political decision to acquire them had been made.
- 2:14:40QuestionWould the larger carrier fleet produce a small Type 43 or another dedicated air-defence coordinator?AnswerQ&A
A modified Type 42 combining Sea Dart and Sea Wolf is more likely than funding a separate Type 43 design.
- 2:16:35QuestionIf the CL-84 Dynavert is large enough for ASW equipment, why not use it as the carrier's anti-submarine aircraft?AnswerQ&A
Its rotor arrangement makes prolonged hovering for dipping sonar inefficient, while adopting it for AEW still adds a separate training, maintenance, and logistics system.
- 2:19:33QuestionHow would the Royal Canadian Navy evolve enough air-defence capability to escort two carriers?AnswerQ&A
Canada would need a heavier air-defence ship than its ASW escorts, most plausibly imported Type 42s or a Canadian hull built around Sea Dart.
- 2:22:34QuestionWas the CL-84 too small for the carrier aircraft being proposed?AnswerQ&A
The proposal would use a development of the CL-84 with usable internal space. The additional procurement cost remains the main objection.
- 2:23:17QuestionWould Australia establish domestic production for its share of the Commonwealth Sea Harrier fleet?AnswerQ&A
Full production is doubtful for roughly 75 aircraft, but Australian final assembly from British-built kits is plausible.
- 2:24:17QuestionCould the three navies jointly develop a fixed-wing V/STOL airborne-early-warning aircraft?AnswerQ&A
No. It would add unnecessary development cost when a Sea King conversion already looks adequate on paper.
- 2:25:05QuestionWould Canada's original Invincibles still be in service, or would they have been sold off?AnswerQ&A
The original ships would be gone in this scenario, assuming roughly forty years of hull life for carriers built to ordinary standards.
- 2:25:27QuestionWould France abandon its PH 75 path for a locally built Invincible design?AnswerQ&A
No. France would pay more to preserve an independent carrier, weapons, and industrial system, so Charles de Gaulle still emerges.
- 2:26:52QuestionWhat air-defence path might Australia choose for its carriers and escorts?AnswerQ&A
Australia could retain its American missile alignment and potentially fit Standard Missile or an early Aegis-style system to later Invincibles.
- 2:29:13QuestionWould the Type 42 and Type 22 classes be built closer to their Batch 3 versions from the start?AnswerQ&A
No. Some Batch 3 improvements came directly from Falklands experience, although the second batches could develop differently.
- 2:29:27QuestionWould Brazil replace Minas Gerais with a surplus or new-build Invincible in this scenario?AnswerQ&A
Possibly, especially if British and Indian orders keep the line open long enough for Brazil to request a tenth ship.
- 2:30:59QuestionCould Canada turn the Halifax-class patrol-frigate project into an anti-air escort for its carriers?AnswerQ&A
Separate ASW and air-defence versions are possible, but Halifax comes later than the 1970s procurement decision and its electrical capacity favours a lighter fit over full Aegis.
- 2:32:43QuestionCould Canada prioritize the air-defence version over ASW and accept a temporary capability gap?AnswerQ&A
Yes, that is considered a plausible Canadian choice in this scenario.