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What Happens if Australia, Canada & the UK go all in on the Invincibles in the 1970s? (Patreon Live)

Study What Happens if Australia, Canada & the UK go all in on the Invincibles in the 1970s? (Patreon Live), a Dr. Alex Clarke video from 21 May 2026, with 66 time notes. Topics include Air Defence, Airborne Early…

Date
Runtime2:37:53
Guide points66 time notes

Time notes

  1. 3:47
    Why the program starts with four, two, and two

    Readiness, spending, and alliance roles produce a four-two-two Commonwealth fleet, with India as a plausible later customer.

    Chapter
  2. 9:19
    CVA-01 leaves a carrier-policy gap

    CVA-01's cancellation removed both Britain's planned mobile air-power base and the Type 82 command-escort path intended to anchor future task groups.

    Chapter
  3. 13:42
    NATO's German front wins the budget fight

    The F-111 and carrier decisions reveal a government concentrating money on the British Army of the Rhine while leaving much of the Atlantic battle to the United States.

    Notable Point
  4. 15:23
    CVA-01 deck studies and Invincible's single island

    CVA-01's deck studies, wartime lessons about cramped islands, and a cruiser-to-helicopter-cruiser evolution all feed the design culture that produced Invincible.

    Notable Point
  5. 20:12
    Real Invincibles set the technical baseline

    The historical Invincible class is established as a 16,000-ton light, 22,000-ton full-load through-deck cruiser with Sea Dart, sonar, Harriers, and an ASW-heavy air group.

    Chapter
  6. 20:56
    Sea Wolf upgrades advance at the rate funding allows

    Sea Wolf's gradual introduction reflects the cost and pace of fleet modernization.

    Notable Point
  7. 25:41
    Invincible protects Norway reinforcement and Atlantic ASW groups

    Invincible's original missions centre on reinforcing Norway, identifying aircraft in grey-zone conditions, and coordinating helicopters that protect Atlantic sea lanes from submarines leaking past the forward battle.

    Chapter
  8. 30:52
    Procurement restraint disguises fixed-wing potential

    Deck parking and flight-deck combat air patrol offered capability beyond the narrow justification used to secure fixed-wing aircraft for the helicopter-cruiser program.

    Notable Point
  9. 35:15
    Australia and Canada need different carrier arguments

    Australia can argue for defensive depth around a continent-sized maritime problem, while Canada must show that a modest carrier contribution still matters beside the United States Navy.

    Notable Point
  10. 37:16
    Australian carrier aviation and defensive depth

    Carrier aviation, Collins-class submarines, and AUKUS are compared through the aim of keeping threats farther from Australia's shores.

    Notable Point
  11. 39:15
    Rebuilding a navy requires time and industrial capacity

    World War I and World War II mobilization depended on allied protection and industrial capacity that a future fleet expansion cannot take for granted.

    Notable Point
  12. 42:14
    Sea Harrier logic makes the hull and mission grow

    A more ambitious Sea Harrier supplies the flight-deck, export, survivable-basing, radar, and missile arguments for turning the through-deck cruiser into a more capable carrier.

    Notable Point
  13. 46:06
    Sea Harrier radar and missile development

    Early plans for beyond-visual-range combat led to a later radar and missile capability beyond the Sea Harrier's original identification role.

    Notable Point
  14. 48:39
    Soviet blue-water growth changes the alliance calculation

    Kievs, Kirovs, and Admiral Gorshkov's blue-water expansion create a peacetime presence problem that submarines alone cannot answer and expose the cost of allied naval contraction.

    Chapter
  15. 57:39
    QuestionWhy could Britain not take over an Iranian order for three Invincible-class ships and redirect carriers to Australia and Canada?Answer

    Because Iran had not reached a real three-ship Invincible order that Britain could seize or redirect.

    Q&A
  16. 58:09
    QuestionWhy did the Invincible class not extend the flight deck fully over the stern?Answer

    Deck organization, helicopter landing spots, and the operating needs of Harriers shaped the stern arrangement.

    Q&A
  17. 58:32
    QuestionBesides Britain and Australia, would India or Iran be likely to buy enlarged Invincibles?Answer

    India is the strong candidate, while Iran's force needs, American alignment, and lack of a firm historical order make an Iranian purchase unlikely.

    Q&A
  18. 1:00:59
    QuestionWas HMS Ocean essentially an Invincible hull reused for an amphibious helicopter carrier?Answer

    No. Ocean shared design ancestry and visual traits with Invincible but used an evolved, commercialized hull tailored to amphibious work.

    Q&A
  19. 1:01:38
    QuestionWould these carriers receive a naval or V/STOL version of Eurofighter?Answer

    No. These ships would remain V/STOL carriers, and a Eurofighter conversion would demand an extensive redesign Britain is not expected to fund.

    Q&A
  20. 1:02:03
    QuestionBeyond India, which navies might join an eight-ship Invincible production program?Answer

    Brazil is a possible customer, but France, Spain, and Italy are more likely to build their own carriers while still buying Harriers or borrowing design ideas.

    Q&A
  21. 1:07:06
    QuestionCould the United States Navy buy an Invincible variant as a Sea Control Ship?Answer

    Probably not, because the Sea Control Ship concept had become exceptionally politically contentious inside US naval procurement.

    Q&A
  22. 1:08:49
    QuestionHow elaborate was Invincible's fuel management, and how much came from CVA-01?Answer

    The explanation emphasizes extensive fuel-safety engineering driven by a past carrier fire. It does not quantify a direct transfer from CVA-01.

    Q&A
  23. 1:09:53
    QuestionDid the Royal Navy want a missile or strike-cruiser version of the Invincible class?Answer

    Not really. Separate strike-cruiser ideas existed, but Invincible's design path remained that of a helicopter cruiser.

    Q&A
  24. 1:10:09
    QuestionCould Invincible be optimized as a V/STOL carrier while remaining below 25,000 tons?Answer

    Yes, some improvement was possible, especially with deck-edge lifts, but the answer depends on whether the limit means light or full-load displacement.

    Q&A
  25. 1:10:34
    QuestionHow could the carrier's evolution be pitched so that governments would approve and fund it?Answer

    Present it as organic air power for alliance support, deployments without secure bases, disaster relief, visible deterrence, and conflict prevention.

    Q&A
  26. 1:11:26
    QuestionWould a supersonic Harrier bring the United States into the program before the Falklands War?Answer

    Not as a full early buyer, because the United States still regarded V/STOL as somewhat gimmicky, though interest and cooperation would probably increase.

    Q&A
  27. 1:12:28
    QuestionWhat tonnage or capability marks the useful range for a light carrier?Answer

    The categories follow sustainable air missions: roughly 36 aircraft can support two mission sets, while about 54 moves a ship into fleet-carrier territory.

    Q&A
  28. 1:14:49
    QuestionHow many carriers would be needed to keep one ready for either Canadian coast?Answer

    About six would be the practical minimum for reliable two-coast readiness.

    Q&A
  29. 1:14:58
    QuestionWill the Royal Navy operate catapult carriers again within the questioner's lifetime?Answer

    Probably not, although the forecast is expressly uncertain.

    Q&A
  30. 1:15:19
    QuestionWould a law requiring the Royal Navy to maintain three carriers secure the force in the way a statutory minimum does in the United States?Answer

    It might preserve the stated number, but governments would probably find creative ways to meet the letter of the law.

    Q&A
  31. 1:15:40
    QuestionHow many aircraft are needed to maintain continuous airborne coverage?Answer

    Four can keep one airborne and one on alert, six can maintain two airborne, and eight provide more margin. The later clarification specifies four helicopters for AEW.

    Q&A
  32. 1:16:34
    QuestionWas Illustrious's weapon-handling system reused in the Queen Elizabeth class?Answer

    No. Queen Elizabeth uses an entirely new automated weapon-handling system.

    Q&A
  33. 1:19:00
    Sea Eagle gives eight carriers a Soviet-raider mission

    American pressure to contain Soviet surface raiders, combined with Sea Harrier-launched Sea Eagle missiles, supplies the mission and readiness arithmetic for four British, two Canadian, and two Australian carriers.

    Chapter
  34. 1:24:51
    The 30,000-ton light-load Invincible

    The alternate ship becomes a 30,000-ton light, 38,000-ton full-load carrier with three shafts, redundant generators, Sea Dart, Sea Wolf, and a 48-aircraft group.

    Chapter
  35. 1:30:18
    Sea King AEW wins the procurement argument

    An existing Sea King-family AEW solution beats new tilt-wing or fixed-wing aircraft because it meets the threat with common training, logistics, and production.

    Notable Point
  36. 1:31:30
    QuestionWhy use the six-round Sea Wolf launcher instead of the quicker-reloading two-round proposal?Answer

    The Royal Navy would probably order more of the six-round launcher already in procurement for Type 22s, avoiding another Treasury approval process and retaining six ready missiles.

    Q&A
  37. 1:32:34
    Two Sea Harrier squadrons share patrol and strike readiness

    Two squadrons of twelve could sustain a four-aircraft patrol while sharing the task of keeping strike aircraft ready on deck.

    Notable Point
  38. 1:36:42
    Deck-edge lifts compete with North Sea experience

    A larger hull makes deck-edge lifts attractive, but Royal Navy confidence in centreline lifts during rough northern seas could produce a conservative mixed arrangement.

    Notable Point
  39. 1:39:07
    QuestionWhy favour Sea King AEW if the Dynavert could carry Searchwater?Answer

    The radar fit is conceivable, but the three countries already support Sea King-family aircraft. Converting those avoids funding another aircraft type and its support system.

    Q&A
  40. 1:40:06
    Eight carriers reshape the Harrier production ecosystem

    A fleet of eight large Invincibles could raise Sea Harrier production above 300 aircraft, sustain British development, and pull later US, Spanish, and Italian variants toward the fighter rather than ground-attack line.

    Chapter
  41. 1:47:20
    Falklands air defence changes sharply

    Forty to forty-eight Sea Harriers, eight AEW helicopters, and Sea Wolf self-defence could deny Argentina the surprise and access that made historical attacks so costly.

    Chapter
  42. 1:47:33
    Sortie distance and pilot fatigue in the Falklands

    Shorter flights from carriers reduced one source of strain compared with the repeated long sorties flown by Argentine pilots.

    Notable Point
  43. 1:49:14
    AEW changes the proposed Falklands patrol line

    An expanded AEW and fighter force could support separate patrols for the forward screen, carriers, and amphibious ships.

    Notable Point
  44. 1:57:41
    Four Invincibles create a different successor fleet

    A four-carrier Royal Navy is more likely to retain Harriers, build two Oceans, order three Queen Elizabeth-class replacements, and keep Australia, Canada, or India involved in the next carrier generation.

    Chapter
  45. 2:03:51
    Carrier groups pull Type 42 and Type 23 numbers upward

    Supporting four carriers could push the Royal Navy toward about sixteen Type 42 air-defence destroyers and eighteen Type 23 ASW frigates, with a possible combined Sea Dart and Sea Wolf escort.

    Chapter
  46. 2:04:32
    QuestionWhat escort arrangement did Britain envisage for its task groups in this period?Answer

    The theoretical aim was three air-defence and three ASW escorts, although that strength was rarely achieved. Submarine protection in Britain required additional ships.

    Q&A
  47. 2:08:01
    QuestionCould a Canadian carrier deal include CL-84 Dynaverts for airborne early warning or other aviation roles?Answer

    They could serve as transports or AEW platforms, but the extra aircraft program and support costs make adoption unlikely.

    Q&A
  48. 2:08:49
    QuestionWhy did Royal Navy ships use Exocet and Harpoon instead of Sea Eagle?Answer

    Exocet and then Harpoon were already available, so adopting them avoided paying to fit Sea Eagle for shipboard use.

    Q&A
  49. 2:09:04
    QuestionWould wider Sea Eagle use lead to ship- or submarine-launched versions replacing Exocet and Harpoon?Answer

    Probably not, because Exocet and Harpoon were already available, avoided new integration costs, and carried alliance-political value.

    Q&A
  50. 2:09:45
    QuestionCould a carrier carrying both Sea Dart and Sea Wolf receive a modification that solved Sea Dart fire control problems over land clutter?Answer

    Probably not before combat losses; AEW and forward positioning help, but known exercise problems often remain unfunded until failure makes them politically urgent.

    Q&A
  51. 2:10:56
    QuestionWould the alternate Falklands force require more Atlantic Conveyor-style merchant-aircraft transports?Answer

    Probably not; more Sea Harrier air cover could shift the reinforcement need toward ground-support helicopters rather than additional carrier conversions.

    Q&A
  52. 2:12:07
    QuestionWhy fit a ski jump if it appears to prevent other aircraft types from operating?Answer

    The ski jump is not the barrier; the absence of catapults and arresting gear is. The ramp lets STOVL aircraft launch more efficiently from a short deck.

    Q&A
  53. 2:13:45
    QuestionHow would the scenario handle the Italian restriction on naval operation of fixed-wing aircraft?Answer

    Italy would either change the law or have the air force operate aircraft from the navy's carriers once the political decision to acquire them had been made.

    Q&A
  54. 2:14:40
    QuestionWould the larger carrier fleet produce a small Type 43 or another dedicated air-defence coordinator?Answer

    A modified Type 42 combining Sea Dart and Sea Wolf is more likely than funding a separate Type 43 design.

    Q&A
  55. 2:16:35
    QuestionIf the CL-84 Dynavert is large enough for ASW equipment, why not use it as the carrier's anti-submarine aircraft?Answer

    Its rotor arrangement makes prolonged hovering for dipping sonar inefficient, while adopting it for AEW still adds a separate training, maintenance, and logistics system.

    Q&A
  56. 2:19:33
    QuestionHow would the Royal Canadian Navy evolve enough air-defence capability to escort two carriers?Answer

    Canada would need a heavier air-defence ship than its ASW escorts, most plausibly imported Type 42s or a Canadian hull built around Sea Dart.

    Q&A
  57. 2:22:34
    QuestionWas the CL-84 too small for the carrier aircraft being proposed?Answer

    The proposal would use a development of the CL-84 with usable internal space. The additional procurement cost remains the main objection.

    Q&A
  58. 2:23:17
    QuestionWould Australia establish domestic production for its share of the Commonwealth Sea Harrier fleet?Answer

    Full production is doubtful for roughly 75 aircraft, but Australian final assembly from British-built kits is plausible.

    Q&A
  59. 2:24:17
    QuestionCould the three navies jointly develop a fixed-wing V/STOL airborne-early-warning aircraft?Answer

    No. It would add unnecessary development cost when a Sea King conversion already looks adequate on paper.

    Q&A
  60. 2:25:05
    QuestionWould Canada's original Invincibles still be in service, or would they have been sold off?Answer

    The original ships would be gone in this scenario, assuming roughly forty years of hull life for carriers built to ordinary standards.

    Q&A
  61. 2:25:27
    QuestionWould France abandon its PH 75 path for a locally built Invincible design?Answer

    No. France would pay more to preserve an independent carrier, weapons, and industrial system, so Charles de Gaulle still emerges.

    Q&A
  62. 2:26:52
    QuestionWhat air-defence path might Australia choose for its carriers and escorts?Answer

    Australia could retain its American missile alignment and potentially fit Standard Missile or an early Aegis-style system to later Invincibles.

    Q&A
  63. 2:29:13
    QuestionWould the Type 42 and Type 22 classes be built closer to their Batch 3 versions from the start?Answer

    No. Some Batch 3 improvements came directly from Falklands experience, although the second batches could develop differently.

    Q&A
  64. 2:29:27
    QuestionWould Brazil replace Minas Gerais with a surplus or new-build Invincible in this scenario?Answer

    Possibly, especially if British and Indian orders keep the line open long enough for Brazil to request a tenth ship.

    Q&A
  65. 2:30:59
    QuestionCould Canada turn the Halifax-class patrol-frigate project into an anti-air escort for its carriers?Answer

    Separate ASW and air-defence versions are possible, but Halifax comes later than the 1970s procurement decision and its electrical capacity favours a lighter fit over full Aegis.

    Q&A
  66. 2:32:43
    QuestionCould Canada prioritize the air-defence version over ASW and accept a temporary capability gap?Answer

    Yes, that is considered a plausible Canadian choice in this scenario.

    Q&A