Video
What happens if instead of Gallipoli, Fisher gets Churchill to go for the Baltic? (Patreon)
Study What happens if instead of Gallipoli, Fisher gets Churchill to go for the Baltic? (Patreon), a Dr. Alex Clarke video from 13 Aug 2026, with 73 time notes. Topics include Alternate History, Amphibious Warfare…
Time notes
- 6:07Why naval technology moved faster than army doctrineChapter
Armies entered World War I with inherited assumptions, while competition at sea forced navies to absorb turbines, improving artillery, submarines, and changing communications.
- 7:47Which Civil War observers did European armies listen to?Notable Point
The attention paid to returning European observers could depend on the prominence of their assignments rather than the military lessons they had witnessed.
- 11:43Why frequent technology adoption could make admirals cautiousNotable Point
Experience with changing equipment could help naval officers distinguish a promising technology from a weapon ready for service.
- 15:11Queen Elizabeth's second Gallipoli mission: stop GoebenNotable Point
HMS Queen Elizabeth went to Gallipoli as flagship, with the additional task of stopping Goeben if the battlecruiser intervened.
- 17:22Fisher's 600-ship Baltic invasion conceptChapter
Fisher's original concept sends more than 600 vessels through the Danish Straits, lands an Anglo-Russian force in Pomerania, and threatens Berlin.
- 22:24Reaching the Danish Straits before Germany could reactNotable Point
British intelligence and concentration in northern Scotland could create a brief opportunity for a rapid passage into the Baltic.
- 23:11How the dreadnought race weakened Germany's supporting fleetNotable Point
Germany's concentration on capital-ship numbers left weaknesses in the cruisers and torpedo boats needed for a close Baltic action.
- 26:44Why Churchill preferred the Dardanelles gambleChapter
Fisher gambled on high-risk deterrence in the Baltic, while Churchill looked to the Ottoman Empire for a supposedly softer route that could sustain Russia.
- 35:18Gallipoli's command problem and the price of forcing straitsChapter
Gallipoli shows how contradictory casualty limits, divided sequencing, and the wrong command temperament can stop a fleet that is close to breaking through.
- 39:02QuestionWere the naval commanders at Gallipoli the Royal Navy's A, B or C team?AnswerQ&A
They were a mixture of strong and competent officers, but Carden was poorly suited to an operation that required accepting heavy losses.
- 44:32How delay turned Gallipoli's terrain into a defender's dreamChapter
A topographical view explains why delayed Allied landings faced successive ridges, cliffs, and a strengthened Ottoman defense rather than an easy advance from the beaches.
- 45:01Preparing old battleships to absorb mine damageNotable Point
Cork-filled compartments and a formation led by the oldest battleships are proposed as preparations for forcing the Dardanelles despite severe mine damage.
- 51:33Even Beatty would reject Fisher's original Baltic planNotable Point
Even the aggressive David Beatty would probably reject Fisher's original scheme because it offered far more chance of dying than winning glory.
- 53:56QuestionWhy was a British and Belgian advance along the coast repeatedly deferred?AnswerQ&A
British planners wanted that axis, but French requests for relief redirected British attacks toward threatened sectors.
- 55:39QuestionWould better maintenance of the Ottoman Navy under the Three Pashas have changed the Gallipoli campaign?AnswerQ&A
Maintenance alone would not make the Ottoman Navy competitive with the attacking powers. The long development needed to achieve that could also have changed the empire's alliances.
- 57:35QuestionCould Norway field a future aircraft carrier to protect Arctic shipping lanes?AnswerQ&A
The objection is whether Norway would fund its navy sufficiently to operate a carrier battle group.
- 58:05Jellicoe would demand an army and rewrite Fisher's planChapter
Jellicoe's prestige and command position would let him refuse a premature naval-only push and insist on troops, planning, and attainable objectives.
- 1:01:05QuestionWould this Baltic operation take place before or after the Battle of Jutland?AnswerQ&A
It would be a late-1914 or early-1915 proposal replacing Gallipoli, well before Jutland in 1916.
- 1:01:58Building the Anglo-Russian command and landing forceChapter
A workable operation needs the Russian Baltic Fleet, a reinforced British corps, senior joint commanders, and a landing force able to seize and hold ground.
- 1:10:11QuestionWould the British use Indian Army manpower for the invasion of Germany?AnswerQ&A
Indian formations would more likely remain in the Middle East against the Ottomans, while a British corps or the forces historically sent to Gallipoli supplied the Baltic landing.
- 1:10:54Assembling roughly 300 warships for a limited Baltic operationChapter
An approximate tally of 299 warships suggests the scale of the proposed concentration, while readiness and troop numbers limit what it could achieve.
- 1:15:55A limited Baltic lodgement near the Kiel CanalChapter
Limited landings near the Danish Straits and Kiel Canal could support a blockade and force a German naval response, though one suggested position raises a Danish-neutrality problem.
- 1:22:19QuestionIf the fleet must face forts and mines, why not attack Wilhelmshaven directly?AnswerQ&A
Wilhelmshaven had Germany's strongest minefields and defenses, while the neutral Danish Straits were international waterways whose defenses might remain silent.
- 1:22:56What a Baltic blockade would do to GermanyChapter
Holding the western Baltic could cut Swedish trade, open supply convoys to Russia, threaten German shipyards, and pin German troops along their own coast.
- 1:27:03QuestionWhen would the alternative Baltic operation actually take place?AnswerQ&A
Jellicoe's demand for preparation would probably delay it until about June 1915, still before Germany's major submarine buildup.
- 1:27:34A do-or-die battle outside Germany's home portsChapter
The Baltic move forces both fleets into a battle neither can abandon, with mines, coastal torpedo boats, destroyers, and close-range weapons shaping the outcome.
- 1:31:24QuestionWould simultaneous offensives on both land fronts strengthen the Baltic operation?AnswerQ&A
Yes. Pressure in France and Russia would make it harder for Germany to release troops to defend its Baltic coast.
- 1:33:24QuestionWould Russia sortie its entire Baltic battle fleet once the Royal Navy entered the Baltic?AnswerQ&A
Russia would probably send every available ship, adding useful pressure because Germany would have to face the Russian fleet and Royal Navy together.
- 1:34:21How Baltic control might keep Russia in the warChapter
Effective Baltic control could resupply Russia, deny Germany Swedish imports and coastal yards, and divert troops from both land fronts at a cost Jellicoe might judge worth taking.
- 1:39:50Why Fisher could not readily dismiss JellicoeNotable Point
Years of Fisher's public support would give Jellicoe room to demand troops and a revised plan before risking the Grand Fleet.
- 1:41:31Night passage, surprise, and German radio trafficChapter
A night passage could put troops ashore before Germany understood the target, while radio traffic analysis warned Jellicoe where and when the response was forming.
- 1:46:26QuestionWould German forces use land telegraph lines instead of revealing their movements by radio?AnswerQ&A
They would still use radio because moving formations could outrun the telegraph network, and even ships in harbor received wireless orders.
- 1:47:16Buying Danish silence with Schleswig-HolsteinNotable Point
Britain might preserve surprise by asking neutral Denmark to stay passive and quietly promising postwar gains in Schleswig-Holstein or the Kiel Canal.
- 1:49:20QuestionCould the Baltic plan work if Denmark had sided with Germany or been absorbed before the war?AnswerQ&A
German control of both shores would turn the Danish Straits into a fortified passage like the Dardanelles and remove the premise that makes this Baltic option possible.
- 1:49:59Why either outcome wrecks both battle fleetsChapter
The proposed battle brings a larger and more complete British fleet than Jutland, making mutual devastation likely even if one side wins operationally.
- 1:55:35QuestionWhy not split the British force to conduct several operations around the Baltic approaches?AnswerQ&A
Britain's decisive advantage is a concentrated fleet, and dividing it would let the entire High Seas Fleet defeat isolated groups in detail.
- 1:57:24QuestionCould the landing proceed while the Royal Navy was still preparing for the German fleet?AnswerQ&A
The British would begin unloading almost immediately because troops ashore create the political and military pressure that forces Germany to respond.
- 1:57:41QuestionCould the High Seas Fleet exploit the Baltic deployment by attacking Britain or the Channel?AnswerQ&A
Germany could threaten northern Britain, but the Channel barrage, mines, coastal destroyers, torpedo boats, and British submarines would make a Channel or Atlantic breakout difficult.
- 1:58:25The Kiel Canal dilemma and Wilhelmshaven's minefieldsNotable Point
Blocking the Kiel Canal protects the Baltic lodgement but may prevent the very fleet battle Jellicoe wants, while attacking Wilhelmshaven means entering Germany's densest minefields.
- 2:00:25QuestionWould France recognize the operation's importance and send naval support?AnswerQ&A
French leaders would probably resist at first because Britain had removed troops from the Western Front and secrecy limited advance consultation, with naval support more likely only after the result became clear.
- 2:01:19QuestionWhat happens if Britain blocks the Kiel Canal while German squadrons are passing through it?AnswerQ&A
Careful timing could trap ships that lack room to turn, while explosive- and mine-packed blockships would make clearing the obstruction slow and dangerous.
- 2:02:37QuestionHow could Jellicoe coordinate with Russia without letting the secret operation leak?AnswerQ&A
He would withhold the plan until the Grand Fleet was entering the Danish Straits, then notify Russia in time for its Baltic Fleet to sortie later that day.
- 2:04:59Victory could end the war and redirect its political mythsChapter
Destroying the High Seas Fleet and opening Russia's Baltic supply route could bring German peace talks in 1915 while transforming the reputations of the navy, Kaiser, Jellicoe, and Churchill.
- 2:11:15QuestionWould the damaged British fleet face a logistical disaster or submarine ambush while returning from the Baltic?AnswerQ&A
Losses would continue, but Germany had only about thirty operational U-boats through much of 1915, and most enemy naval strength would already have been committed to the main battle.
- 2:13:22QuestionWhat happens to HMS Warspite in this alternative battle?AnswerQ&A
Warspite would be a brand-new ship commissioned in March 1915, and her extraordinary historical survival record makes a confident prediction of her loss especially unpersuasive.
- 2:14:41How an early peace could change American fleet constructionNotable Point
A decisive battle in 1915 could remove the later wartime conditions behind American capital-ship orders and destroyer expansion.
- 2:15:43Early U-boats cannot replace the decisive surface battleNotable Point
Small 1915 U-boat classes with few torpedoes could add losses, but the campaign would be decided by a brutal short-range surface action.
- 2:20:11A shorter war without the historical naval treaty systemChapter
A decisive 1915 fleet battle changes later construction, weakens the case for the historical treaty system, and gives different navies the lead in carrier development.
- 2:23:25Why the date matters when judging Baltic defensesNotable Point
Defenses developed later in the war cannot simply be assumed to exist for an operation proposed in the first half of 1915.
- 2:26:55QuestionCould the air power available during World War I make the Baltic operation succeed?AnswerQ&A
Seaplane carriers could provide reconnaissance, spotting, limited air defense, and some interception, but 1915 aviation was too immature to decide the campaign by itself.
- 2:28:01QuestionWhat should we make of Churchill's plans to invade the Netherlands during World War I?AnswerQ&A
Most versions sought northern Belgium or Germany's North Sea flank through Dutch waters, creating a neutrality problem, while some studies existed chiefly to show why the operation should not be attempted.
- 2:30:18QuestionCould the Russian Baltic Fleet cooperate effectively with Jellicoe despite national command sensitivities?AnswerQ&A
The Russian admiral could preserve formal equality by asking where Jellicoe wanted his force, turning orders into accepted suggestions under a well-understood multinational naval convention.
- 2:32:25QuestionWhat would Britain do with Constantinople given competing Russian and Greek interests?AnswerQ&A
Britain could promise Constantinople to Russia, offer it to Greece, or hold it pending a peace settlement, with a Russian award offering the greatest immediate support to Tsar Nicholas II.
- 2:34:39QuestionHow much could Jellicoe coordinate with his Russian counterpart before the Baltic operation?AnswerQ&A
He could build a professional relationship and discuss readiness in general terms while withholding operational details that enemy intelligence might intercept.
- 2:36:41QuestionWhat are the strengths and weaknesses of the proposed 1914 operation?AnswerQ&A
It has possibilities on paper, but its logistics and ability to attract political support remain doubtful.
- 2:37:09QuestionShould Britain use the troops historically sent to Gallipoli or withdraw II Corps from the Western Front?AnswerQ&A
ANZAC and naval-division troops preserve surprise, while II Corps offers battle-hardened experience at the cost of a slower, more visible, and politically difficult redeployment.
- 2:37:37QuestionCould careful wording and timing communicate preparations without explicitly revealing the operation?AnswerQ&A
Possibly, after enough correspondence established a relationship, but enemy analysts would also be watching for those hints.
- 2:39:56QuestionAfter destroying the High Seas Fleet, could Britain clear the mines and use the Grand Fleet against Germany's western flank?AnswerQ&A
Such operations could follow, but the Royal Navy would first need time to replace losses and restore a usable force structure.
- 2:40:41QuestionWhy did the Royal Navy build battleships and battlecruisers instead of making all its dreadnoughts 25-knot fast battleships?AnswerQ&A
Contemporary hull, armor, subdivision, boiler, and machinery limits made that balanced speed expensive and oversized, forcing designers to trade armor coverage against speed and firepower.
- 2:44:26How triple turrets could lead to a faster Queen ElizabethNotable Point
A hypothetical triple-turret Queen Elizabeth illustrates how a wider, longer hull could create room for machinery and greater speed.
- 2:45:09QuestionDid history prove Fisher right to promote Jellicoe as the decisive British admiral?AnswerQ&A
Jellicoe is judged the best available officer for the command, particularly for his coolness and calm.
- 2:45:24QuestionWould risking so much of the Royal Navy require political influence beyond what Fisher and Churchill possessed?AnswerQ&A
The Cabinet would have to approve, but Fisher and Churchill, a workable Jellicoe plan, Asquith's tendency to follow a strong coalition, and Lloyd George's interest in shortening the war could produce support.
- 2:46:56QuestionIs preserving the intact Royal Navy the strongest argument against the Baltic operation?AnswerQ&A
Yes. An intact Royal Navy makes British defeat unlikely, so the Baltic gamble must justify risking the country's central strategic guarantee to meet its Entente commitments.
- 2:47:12QuestionWould HMS Warspite replace Iron Duke as Jellicoe's flagship if Iron Duke were lost?AnswerQ&A
Queen Elizabeth was the prepared flagship choice, but battle position might force Jellicoe onto the nearest suitable ship, plausibly HMS Canada in the center of the line.
- 2:51:35QuestionHow severe would losses among the pre-dreadnoughts be?AnswerQ&A
Losses would be horrendous, but it would be too strong to assume that every pre-dreadnought was destroyed.
- 2:53:24QuestionCould capital ships end up ramming one another in such a confined battle?AnswerQ&A
Ramming is possible because a close, bitter fight around the Kiel Canal could collapse normal formation and fire-control distances.
- 2:55:39QuestionWould David Beatty take command if Jellicoe were killed or disabled during this battle?AnswerQ&A
No. Vice-Admiral Cecil Burney and several other Grand Fleet officers, probably including Charles Madden, outranked Beatty in early 1915.
- 2:56:53QuestionCould the Royal Navy attack German ships while they were still organizing inside the Kiel Canal?AnswerQ&A
Only aircraft-directed fire makes that practical because terrain and smoke would hide ships in the canal from naval observers at ordinary engagement ranges.
- 2:59:04QuestionWould the Admiral class become fast battleships, and what design lessons would the Baltic fight produce?AnswerQ&A
The class would probably move closer to a fast-battleship balance, while the battle's range and use of aircraft would determine whether designers emphasized maneuver, balanced fleets, or long-range fire.
- 3:00:23QuestionWhat happens to HMS Canada after a British Baltic victory?AnswerQ&A
Britain might still return the ship to Chile, or Canada could buy her as a memorial if she became closely associated with the victory.
- 3:00:39QuestionHow would more competent leadership by the Three Pashas change World War I?AnswerQ&A
A more capable Ottoman government would recognize that strict neutrality offered its best chance of survival and might avoid entering the war altogether.
- 3:01:18QuestionHow does a successful Baltic operation affect the Soviet Union and the Russian Revolution?AnswerQ&A
The Soviet Union probably never forms because a supplied, victorious army preserves loyal regiments and blocks the conditions for a Bolshevik takeover, though a later moderate revolution remains possible.
- 3:02:24QuestionIf Germany avoided naval restrictions after the defeat, would the Kaiser try to build a second High Seas Fleet?AnswerQ&A
Germany would almost certainly face restrictions, but even without them political doubt about matching Britain would push the Kaiser toward cruisers and submarines rather than another equal battle fleet.