Could the Baltic plan work if Denmark had sided with Germany or been absorbed before the war?
Short answerGerman control of both shores would turn the Danish Straits into a fortified passage like the Dardanelles and remove the premise that makes this Baltic option possible.
NotesGerman control of Denmark creates a different counterfactual. Germany would fortify both sides of the straits and directly control the passage. The Royal Navy would have to fight through mines and shore batteries in a narrow channel, recreating the central problem at Gallipoli. Neutral Danish territory is a necessary condition for the proposed surprise. Once that condition changes, the Baltic plan ceases to be a small variation on this scenario.