Video

Patreon 74: What if History - Greenboy shells had been developed and deployed in time for Jutland.

Study Patreon 74: What if History - Greenboy shells had been developed and deployed in time for Jutland., a Dr. Alex Clarke video from 9 Mar 2023, with 59 time notes. Topics include Alternate History, Battle Of…

Date
Runtime3:31:50
Guide points59 time notes

Time notes

  1. 3:09
    QuestionWould the Germans avoid a full fleet battle if British shells were working properly?Answer

    No. The Germans already assumed British shells worked, although heavier damage during the action could make them break off earlier.

    Q&A
  2. 5:08
    The Greenboy question begins with Jutland's real damage

    Set the alternate-history premise against the heavy but often overlooked damage that British fire inflicted on German ships at Jutland.

    Chapter
  3. 13:40
    How Seydlitz escaped Britain's night forces

    Seydlitz's crew and British fears of torpedo attacks help explain how the badly damaged battlecruiser survived the journey home.

    Notable Point
  4. 23:41
    Why Greenboy shells were different

    Less sensitive shellite fillings, stronger projectiles, and improved caps were intended to carry an explosive charge through armour before it burst.

    Chapter
  5. 27:30
    Dreyer's shell trials and the eighteen-month development cycle

    The Greenboy programme required stricter angled-plate trials, new manufacturing standards, and time to distribute the improved ammunition.

    Notable Point
  6. 29:34
    Why earlier shell reform required tighter quality control

    Rapid fleet expansion and pressure to deliver ammunition competed with stricter testing, even as the Royal Navy invested in more accurate fire control.

    Chapter
  7. 33:28
    QuestionWhat is a good source on these British battleship fire-control systems?Answer

    British Battleships of World War One is recommended as the better volume for this subject.

    Q&A
  8. 38:00
    A damaged Goeben could reveal the shell problem

    Follow the proposed 1914 divergence: Goeben is damaged and forced into a Greek port, giving Britain evidence that its shells have failed against modern German armour.

    Chapter
  9. 39:56
    Why peacetime shell reform kept stalling

    See how obsolete plate trials, manufacturer-friendly conditions, staff turnover, and weak political incentives repeatedly blunted attempts to impose realistic shell testing.

    Notable Point
  10. 48:56
    How authority over naval construction changed after the First World War

    Changes in the authority of the Director of Naval Construction and Third Sea Lord offer one explanation for later procurement difficulties.

    Notable Point
  11. 55:30
    The Royal Navy planned different shells for different ranges

    Learn why British doctrine expected high-explosive or CPC shells to blind and burn an enemy at long range before armour-piercing rounds were used at closer range.

    Notable Point
  12. 1:02:38
    QuestionWhy couldn't the Austro-Hungarian fleet sortie to protect Goeben after she entered a Greek port?Answer

    It was too far away, faced an unfriendly neutral Italy and other Allied forces, and would not risk much of the fleet to save one German battlecruiser.

    Q&A
  13. 1:03:43
    QuestionWhat does CPC mean, and how does it differ from a ballistic cap?Answer

    CPC means common pointed capped, but the wider distinction is complicated by inconsistent period and secondary-source classifications.

    Q&A
  14. 1:06:55
    Goeben's loss reshapes Gallipoli and the Grand Fleet

    Trace the wider consequences of preventing Goeben's Ottoman service: a different Dardanelles problem, altered support for Russia, and possibly another Queen Elizabeth-class ship at Jutland.

    Notable Point
  15. 1:06:55
    Success against Goeben could alter Cradock's choices at Coronel

    Trace how avoiding Troubridge's historical disgrace might change the orders, reinforcements, and professional pressures surrounding Cradock before Coronel.

    Notable Point
  16. 1:08:32
    Earlier shell reform could reshape training before Dogger Bank

    See why demonstrated shell defects could push the battlecruiser force toward both higher firing volume and more disciplined accuracy before its first major North Sea clash.

    Notable Point
  17. 1:13:47
    QuestionWould stopping Goeben allow Prince Louis of Battenberg to remain First Sea Lord?Answer

    Possibly, but not automatically. Fisher's campaign against him and the outcome at Coronel could still force Battenberg out.

    Q&A
  18. 1:16:15
    The shell crisis extended below the capital-ship guns

    See why testing spread from 15-inch projectiles through 13.5-, 12-, 9.2-, 7.5-, and 6-inch ammunition instead of ending with the Queen Elizabeth class.

    Notable Point
  19. 1:19:07
    How many heavy-gun ships could Britain bring to the alternate Jutland?

    Compare the proposed capital-ship strength by gun calibre and the reasons Dreadnought and Australia remain outside the alternate battle.

    Notable Point
  20. 1:22:25
    QuestionDoes the commander receive more information in this version of Jutland?Answer

    No. The scenario keeps other historical conditions unchanged except where the existing divergence alters them.

    Q&A
  21. 1:25:25
    Queen Elizabeth could reinforce the Fifth Battle Squadron or become fleet flagship

    An available Queen Elizabeth could join Evan-Thomas as a fifth fast battleship or become Jellicoe's flagship.

    Notable Point
  22. 1:27:16
    Better shells do not repair Beatty's battlecruiser problems

    See why visibility, target allocation, and signalling still leave the British battlecruisers exposed on the Run to the South.

    Chapter
  23. 1:29:24
    Engadine launches Jutland's shipborne air reconnaissance

    Follow the pioneering attempt to launch an aircraft from the fleet to locate German light cruisers, and why reporting failures limited its effect.

    Notable Point
  24. 1:38:01
    Francis Harvey prevents Lion's magazine explosion

    Watch the shell hit that nearly destroys Lion and Major Francis Harvey's order that prevents the flash fire from reaching Q magazine.

    Notable Point
  25. 1:39:32
    Von der Tann becomes an early test of working shells

    Compare the historical damage to Von der Tann with the likely effect of 15-inch and 13.5-inch shells that penetrate before bursting.

    Notable Point
  26. 1:44:01
    QuestionCould enough improved shells be made to equip the Grand Fleet before Jutland?Answer

    Yes. Using the historical programme as a benchmark, an earlier discovery gives Britain enough time to replace ammunition across the fleet, rather than supplying only a few ships.

    Q&A
  27. 1:46:23
    Failed shell bursts spare Seydlitz and Derfflinger

    More destructive British hits could remove German battlecruisers before they contribute to later British losses, including Queen Mary's destruction.

    Notable Point
  28. 1:50:08
    QuestionWhy would Britain replace the old shells instead of continuing to use its stocks?Answer

    Because their defects have been demonstrated. Existing stocks would be replaced once they were known to be ineffective.

    Q&A
  29. 1:52:49
    Defence approaches Wiesbaden and meets German heavy fire

    Wiesbaden's disablement draws ships into an encounter in which Hipper initially mistakes Defence for the German cruiser Rostock.

    Notable Point
  30. 1:56:37
    Nestor's destroyers fight through the battlecruiser screen

    British and German destroyers fight around the battlecruisers before Nestor and Nomad are immobilised and overtaken by Scheer's battle line.

    Notable Point
  31. 1:56:37
    Southampton reports the High Seas Fleet

    Goodenough's reconnaissance gives Beatty and Jellicoe their first warning that Scheer's main battle fleet is at sea.

    Notable Point
  32. 1:58:33
    The Fifth Battle Squadron could force Scheer to turn away

    Accurate British 15-inch fire could turn existing hits on German battlecruisers and Markgraf into losses that force Scheer to withdraw early.

    Chapter
  33. 2:08:51
    Markgraf's flooding could slow the German retreat

    Hits that historically caused limited flooding become a possible sinking or scuttling problem when the shells penetrate and explode properly.

    Notable Point
  34. 2:11:02
    QuestionWould the Admiral class become a better-armoured fast battleship after this version of Jutland?Answer

    Yes. The proposed ship is a roughly 28-knot, fully protected successor to the Queen Elizabeth class rather than a conventional battlecruiser.

    Q&A
  35. 2:14:10
    QuestionIf the Germans turned for home early, could the British force another battle before they reached the Jade?Answer

    Potentially. Fast survivors might escape, but crippled ships could slow the fleet enough for Jellicoe to catch it.

    Q&A
  36. 2:17:19
    QuestionHow many Admiral-class ships would be built in this counterfactual?Answer

    Possibly all four.

    Q&A
  37. 2:18:10
    Windy Corner and the crossing of the T become deadlier

    Earlier German losses could spare Invincible and Princess Royal, while effective shells make the Grand Fleet's later engagement more destructive.

    Chapter
  38. 2:18:26
    Working shells might keep HMS Defence clear of Wiesbaden

    Destroying Wiesbaden outright could remove the reason for Defence to approach the position where German fire sank her.

    Notable Point
  39. 2:24:00
    König faces effective shells from a different flagship

    König survives several damaging British hits historically; the proposed Queen Elizabeth flagship combines a larger shell with reliable penetration and detonation.

    Notable Point
  40. 2:30:19
    Shark fights four German torpedo boats

    Shark's isolated fight against four German torpedo boats earns Loftus Jones the Victoria Cross and illustrates the navy's aggressive destroyer ethos.

    Notable Point
  41. 2:38:18
    Damaged ships make a German escape more dangerous

    See why a German retreat with crippled ships, rather than cleanly sunk ones, could expose the High Seas Fleet to interception after dark or at dawn.

    Notable Point
  42. 2:42:09
    QuestionWould Jellicoe and Fisher seek an escort resembling a Second World War Tribal-class destroyer?Answer

    Probably a scout cruiser with characteristics resembling the later Tribal destroyer.

    Q&A
  43. 2:43:25
    QuestionWould the losses prove that battlecruisers were a failure?Answer

    Not inherently. Battlecruisers become dangerously exposed when used against threats their protection was not meant to withstand, while their intended roles remain valid.

    Q&A
  44. 2:46:25
    QuestionWere the pre-dreadnoughts Germany's greatest obstacle to a fast retreat?Answer

    Damaged dreadnoughts could be just as slow or slower. Sacrificing the pre-dreadnoughts would buy little time against the Grand Fleet.

    Q&A
  45. 2:47:54
    A decisive Jutland could change the war's timetable

    Follow the argument that a shattered High Seas Fleet could let Britain press into the Baltic, affect German war prospects, and make later U-boat pressure less decisive.

    Chapter
  46. 2:48:06
    Earlier shell reform could face less competition for explosives

    Earlier adoption of improved naval shells could have reduced competition with the army's expanding artillery demand.

    Notable Point
  47. 2:51:01
    QuestionWere defective fuzes the only problem with British shells at Jutland?Answer

    No. Soft caps, weak shell bodies, premature explosions, and unreliable fuzes all contributed to the failure of British armour-piercing ammunition.

    Q&A
  48. 2:53:04
    A decisive battle favours fast battleships over battlecruisers

    Consider how an alternate Jutland might favour 28-knot, heavily armoured fast battleships, reshape American and Japanese plans, and weaken the path to naval limitation.

    Notable Point
  49. 2:56:34
    QuestionCould Admiral-class successors carry 16.5-inch or 18-inch guns?Answer

    Yes. Moving to 16.5-inch or 18-inch guns is accepted as a possible development.

    Q&A
  50. 3:03:26
    QuestionDid the Washington Naval Treaty originate with the Wilson or Harding administration?Answer

    The groundwork began under Wilson and was carried forward by Harding; remove Wilson's postwar framework and the treaty becomes much less likely.

    Q&A
  51. 3:04:44
    Reginald Hall explains Jutland as a strategic victory

    Hear Hall's black-eye analogy for a battle that left Britain holding the strategic position despite its visible losses.

    Notable Point
  52. 3:05:25
    QuestionCould German U-boats prevent the Royal Navy from exploiting a decisive victory at Jutland?Answer

    Not immediately. Germany would need time to expand its submarine force, while Britain could move quickly with heavy destroyer and light-force protection.

    Q&A
  53. 3:10:32
    An earlier peace leaves Russia and Austria-Hungary open questions

    Follow the deliberately cautious speculation about a Lenin-led revolution, Austro-Hungarian survival, federation, republican government, or a replacement monarchy.

    Notable Point
  54. 3:11:54
    QuestionWould a replacement monarchy choose a French general or a British royal?Answer

    A French general fits Napoleon's ascendancy. In this scenario, a British royal could advertise friendship with Britain and help seek protection from France and Italy.

    Q&A
  55. 3:16:51
    QuestionCould Bertie renounce the British succession to take an Austro-Hungarian throne?Answer

    The proposal is rejected because Britain would want to keep its immediate successors available. Prince Arthur is suggested instead.

    Q&A
  56. 3:18:06
    Responsibility for Beatty's signalling extended through his staff

    Look beyond the usual blame placed on Ralph Seymour to the senior officers responsible for supervising Beatty's communications staff.

    Notable Point
  57. 3:22:16
    A shattered High Seas Fleet could rewrite Germany's naval lesson

    Consider how an unmistakable fleet defeat might replace the stab-in-the-back story with a warning against challenging British sea power.

    Notable Point
  58. 3:29:40
    QuestionIf Milne commanded the battlecruiser fleet instead of Beatty, would the result be better or worse?Answer

    Milne is preferred as the more proficient admiral, despite being less dashing than Beatty.

    Q&A
  59. 3:30:05
    QuestionCould Germany still build a navy large enough to challenge the Royal Navy after this alternate peace?Answer

    No. A peace dictated by the victorious Royal Navy would impose especially severe restrictions on German naval industry.

    Q&A