Video
Taranto Zero: Japan joins WWII on side of Britain in June 1940 - Patreon Alternate History
Study Taranto Zero: Japan joins WWII on side of Britain in June 1940 - Patreon Alternate History, a Dr. Alex Clarke video from 27 Apr 2024, with 44 time notes. Topics include Alternate History, Anglo-Japanese Alliance…
Time notes
- 0:17Japan joins Britain after France fallsChapter
The scenario starts from a narrow counterfactual: no Second Sino-Japanese War, France falls, and Japan chooses Britain in June 1940.
- 5:40Akagi and Soryu form Japan's proposed carrier contributionNotable Point
Refit schedules, operating conditions, and home-defence commitments lead to a proposed deployment of Akagi to the Atlantic and Soryu to the Mediterranean.
- 9:50Kongos and Nagatos reinforce different Allied fleetsChapter
Speed, readiness, and gun power send one Kongo toward Force H, other fast ships toward the Home Fleet, and the Nagato class toward Atlantic blocking duties.
- 12:26Rebuilt Kongos complicate German Atlantic breakoutsNotable Point
Reconstructed Kongos could help contain Germany's fast capital ships, while a stronger Mediterranean carrier force releases heavier ships for the Home Fleet.
- 15:22Japanese reinforcements need a place in Allied commandNotable Point
Japan's detachment would bring an admiral and supporting ships, requiring practical communications and command arrangements with British forces.
- 16:47Yonai gives Japan an old-alliance optionChapter
The scenario uses Yonai's influence and opposition to war with America to explain a possible return to Britain's side.
- 21:06Japan seeks time and resources through its old allianceNotable Point
The imagined alliance gives Japan time to manage its internal problems and relations with America while offering territorial and diplomatic gains.
- 26:35Warships arrive before Japan's land and air reinforcementsChapter
Self-contained warships can deploy before troops and aircraft, while secure routes to North Africa and the absence of fighting in Burma increase the available Allied forces.
- 29:01Shipping losses expose India's dependence on sea transportNotable Point
Safer shipping could ease famine shortages, while the explanation of transport vulnerability places weight on earlier railway investment decisions.
- 31:18Churchill must integrate Japan without excluding AmericaNotable Point
Japan's proposed alliance would leave Churchill coordinating Japanese forces while keeping American representatives involved in the negotiations.
- 35:37Churchill and Halifax at the succession meetingNotable Point
Parliamentary arithmetic and the exchange between Chamberlain, Halifax, and Churchill frame the account of the premiership changing hands.
- 37:04Japanese entry could influence French colonial allegiancesNotable Point
Japanese forces would arrive too late to change Mers-el-Kebir directly, while fear of occupation could affect French colonies' choices.
- 38:02Pacific security releases Dominion forcesNotable Point
Japan's belligerence on Britain's side reduces pressure on Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Malaya, and Hong Kong, releasing more troops for North Africa and Europe.
- 41:08A peaceful Pacific supports trade and supplies for North AfricaNotable Point
Malayan earnings, Japanese demand for raw materials, and a safer ocean route could ease Britain's economic and shipping pressures.
- 42:59American Far Eastern interests complicate isolationismChapter
The counterfactual links American pressure for participation to concern about exclusion from a British-Japanese settlement in the Far East.
- 46:49A limited naval commitment offers one route to American entryNotable Point
The counterfactual considers a naval commitment and expanded Atlantic patrols as possible routes to American participation.
- 47:37Pearl Harbor preparation and commanders' access to intelligenceNotable Point
The explanation of Pearl Harbor focuses on preparedness and access to information while rejecting a deliberately arranged attack.
- 50:55Suez becomes the Axis pressure pointChapter
Japan's entry makes the Mediterranean and Suez central because the Indian Ocean becomes a safer Allied support area.
- 54:41A secure Indian Ocean allows mobile fleet support to move westNotable Point
Capital ships and floating docks could shift closer to the Mediterranean when Britain no longer needs to prepare for a Pacific naval war.
- 57:52The 1939 Soviet-Japanese war still shapes StalinNotable Point
Even without war in China, the 1939 Soviet-Japanese conflict may still occur and affect Stalin's timing in Poland.
- 58:44Force H gains speed while the Home Fleet gains weightChapter
A detailed allocation sends Soryu and Haruna toward the Mediterranean, Akagi and other Kongos toward Atlantic duties, and the Nagatos toward the Home Fleet.
- 1:00:23Italian fleet strength receives less attention than German battleshipsNotable Point
Italy's larger and more balanced fleet is contrasted with the prestige attached to fighting Germany's better-known capital ships.
- 1:05:11Soviet neutrality under pressure from Britain and JapanNotable Point
The scenario considers how pressure from British and Japanese naval power could affect Soviet neutrality and the timing of Germany's eastern campaign.
- 1:08:26German commanders share responsibility for strategic planningNotable Point
The interpretation distinguishes political direction from the command staff's responsibility for plans and professional advice.
- 1:09:17Soryu changes Mediterranean carrier operationsNotable Point
Adding Soryu lets Illustrious, Eagle, and the Japanese carrier share maintenance, air defense, strike, and supply burdens in the Mediterranean.
- 1:12:04American equipment reaches North Africa through the Pacific and Indian OceansNotable Point
A friendly Japan opens a supply route that avoids Atlantic submarine concentrations, although German surface raiders still require escorts and patrol aircraft.
- 1:14:32Carrier readiness and aircraft numbers reshape the Taranto planNotable Point
An August arrival gives Japanese ships time to work up before an October or November attack, with larger air groups and optional American reinforcement.
- 1:18:29Taranto becomes a night-and-dawn carrier blowChapter
With Soryu and possibly American carriers present, Taranto becomes a larger British night strike followed by a Japanese or Allied dawn attack.
- 1:20:07A dawn strike compounds Taranto's damage despite torpedo limitationsNotable Point
The proposed follow-up targets damaged battleships and ships leaving harbour, while acknowledging limitations in American torpedoes and Japanese harbour attacks.
- 1:24:56A greater Taranto defeat threatens Mussolini's authorityNotable Point
The counterfactual links a prolonged loss of the battle fleet to Mussolini's ministerial responsibilities and relations with Germany.
- 1:26:33Sea control isolates North Africa and protects CreteChapter
With the Italian battle fleet disabled, Allied cruisers, destroyers, submarines, and troops can cut North African supply while heavy ships redeploy north.
- 1:28:35Slow battleships block Atlantic routes while fast forces hunt raidersNotable Point
Warspite and Valiant could guard likely German routes, allowing faster British and Japanese ships to pursue breakouts or receive overdue maintenance.
- 1:36:40Combined carrier groups hunt German surface raidersChapter
Fast Anglo-Japanese squadrons could combine carrier searches, day and night strikes, and heavy surface forces against German raiders.
- 1:38:08Why skilled Japanese aircrews still need a night-flying training systemNotable Point
British night operations supply a model for Japanese aviation, but wartime training limits favour pairing carriers with complementary skills.
- 1:40:10Hood's loss and the limits of comparing fleet strengthNotable Point
The Denmark Strait comparison allows for exceptional damage even when one side appears stronger on paper.
- 1:41:08Mixed command teams coordinate the coalition fleetNotable Point
British and Japanese admirals could command separate groups with deputies from the other navy, while an overall commander coordinates their movements.
- 1:43:18Naval defeat could remove Mussolini without an invasionNotable Point
Losing the battle fleet, North Africa, and Greece could let Italian royalists depose Mussolini and seek neutrality or a new alliance before Allied troops land in Italy.
- 1:46:31Southern France opens while Germany turns eastChapter
Italian withdrawal would expose southern France to an Allied landing, while Crete-based air power could threaten Romanian oil and affect Germany's eastern strategy.
- 1:47:50Norwegian readiness and the risks of an Allied returnNotable Point
Norway remains a difficult Allied landing option, while the interpretation of German success in 1940 focuses on Norwegian preparation.
- 1:51:10More carriers change the Arctic convoy covering forceNotable Point
The enlarged coalition fleet could protect Soviet supply routes with several carriers and capital ships, changing the conditions behind a PQ 17-type disaster.
- 1:52:54Crete-based bombers target Romanian oilChapter
A proposed January 1942 offensive from Crete attacks Romanian oil as German winter fuel reserves fall, followed by a March landing in southern France.
- 1:56:26Shared combat experience and the risk of a later Pacific warNotable Point
Service alongside British and American troops could alter Japanese assessments of their fighting qualities, while the risk of later conflict remains unresolved.
- 1:57:26Could a mass German breakout beat the coalition fleet?Notable Point
The closing problem pits Bismarck, Tirpitz, Scharnhorst, Gneisenau, and Graf Zeppelin against two Anglo-Japanese carrier groups and a deep blocking force.
- 2:02:07How commitments against Japan limit the route to Romanian oilNotable Point
The closing strategic argument connects British commitments against Japan to Mediterranean sea control and airfields within range of Romanian oil.