Video
Patreon 68: What if the Royal Navy went 4.7in rather than 4.5in for dual purpose?
Study Patreon 68: What if the Royal Navy went 4.7in rather than 4.5in for dual purpose?, a Dr. Alex Clarke video from 8 Dec 2022, with 48 time notes. Topics include Air Defence, Alternate History, Destroyers.
Time notes
- 8:45Choosing a 4.7-inch dual-purpose gunChapter
The counterfactual begins by choosing the earlier 4.7-inch 45-calibre family, whose existing mounts offer a more practical route to high-angle fire than the later 50-calibre weapon.
- 14:23QuestionWere shells interchangeable between the Royal Navy's different 4.7-inch guns?AnswerQ&A
Only imperfectly: a shell from one system might theoretically fit another in one direction, but the reverse was unsafe and a proper common round would require further development.
- 17:47How interwar doctrine left 4.7 inch low-angleChapter
Exercise assumptions and the expected bomber threat preserved the 4.7-inch gun as a low-angle destroyer weapon while the 4.5-inch programme grew from replacing four-inch AA guns.
- 22:42QuestionHow many British organizations were involved in developing naval guns?AnswerQ&A
Several: Vickers-Armstrong participated alongside other private firms, naval organizations, and nationally owned gun foundries.
- 23:59QuestionCould the same heavy anti-aircraft gun serve both British land and naval defence?AnswerQ&A
Only to a limited extent: ships could carry much heavier mountings and used moving guns to disrupt incoming formations, while land forces defended fixed positions with different weight and operating constraints.
- 25:49A single calibre reshapes much more than destroyersChapter
Making 4.7 inch the common dual-purpose calibre would affect destroyers, sloops, cruiser conversions, and new ships historically armed with four-inch or 4.5-inch guns.
- 29:02QuestionWhy did the Royal Navy develop the 5.25-inch gun for capital ships while retaining smaller dual-purpose weapons elsewhere?AnswerQ&A
Cruiser and capital-ship status pushed designers toward a gun larger than the destroyer's weapon, even though a five-inch system had originally been preferred.
- 33:45QuestionCould British 4.7-inch or 5.25-inch guns use ammunition made for French 130 mm weapons?AnswerQ&A
No. The British 4.7-inch was about 120 mm and the 5.25-inch about 134 mm, while roughly 5.1 inches corresponds to 130 mm.
- 34:29QuestionWhy did Royal Navy destroyers use open gun mounts rather than enclosed turrets?AnswerQ&A
Weight limits made a useful armoured turret impractical; an open-backed shield could provide splinter protection without trapping the crew in a thin-skinned enclosure.
- 36:46QuestionHow did the four-inch, 4.5-inch, 4.7-inch, and 5.25-inch rounds compare?AnswerQ&A
The relevant 4.5- and 4.7-inch projectiles were close enough in weight that funding, shell design, muzzle velocity, and mounting elevation mattered more than a nominal five-pound difference.
- 43:06QuestionWhat gun differences existed among Tribal-class destroyers?AnswerQ&A
The main wartime change replaced the after 4.7-inch mounting with a twin four-inch high-angle mounting because the original main battery could not elevate far enough for air defence.
- 44:51Why 80 degrees matters against dive-bombersNotable Point
A mount reaching roughly 80 degrees could keep firing as a diving aircraft closed, unlike the 50-degree destroyer guns that left a dangerous gap near the ship.
- 48:03QuestionWas fixed ammunition the main problem preventing a 4.7-inch dual-purpose gun?AnswerQ&A
Not by itself: the answer depends on the particular 4.7-inch weapon, and the chosen 45-calibre family already evolved toward cartridges but still needed better shell ballistics and funded development.
- 50:22Why the 4.5-inch upper-deck mount arrived too lateNotable Point
The alternate 4.7-inch programme gains its timing advantage from modifying an existing upper-deck mount rather than waiting for the delayed 4.5-inch destroyer installation.
- 51:35QuestionWere the four-inch gun, 4.7-inch gun, and 4.5-inch gun naturally optimized for anti-aircraft, surface, and compromise roles?AnswerQ&A
No. Their apparent roles emerged from programme history: the 4.5-inch began as a four-inch replacement, while the 4.7-inch remained low-angle until wartime exposed the need for a destroyer high-angle weapon.
- 53:21QuestionDid British 4.7-inch gun development depend on design ideas borrowed from other countries?AnswerQ&A
Not to any important degree in this case; Britain had several very large arms manufacturers and enough domestic expertise to develop the weapon itself.
- 58:21QuestionWhen did the Royal Navy begin using the 4.7-inch guns relevant to this scenario?AnswerQ&A
The specific marks discussed entered service around 1930, while their technical family reached back to a 1918 weapon rather than to unrelated 1880s guns of the same nominal calibre.
- 59:39An Abdiel-class minelayer with 4.7-inch gunsNotable Point
Applying the common-calibre assumption to the very fast Abdiel-class minelayers produces a striking surface-warfare consequence as well as better air defence.
- 1:02:25Common ammunition still needs mount engineeringNotable Point
A common 4.7-inch family could simplify wartime supply, but achieving 80-degree elevation would still demand a carefully balanced redesigned mount.
- 1:06:37Layered air defence needs continuous coverageChapter
Fighters, heavy flak, manoeuvre, and 40 mm weapons form a layered system; high-angle guns matter because they keep disrupting an attack until it reaches the close-range screen.
- 1:13:27QuestionWhat would happen to the four-inch and five-inch weapons displaced by a standardized 4.7-inch programme?AnswerQ&A
Existing four-inch weapons could move to trawlers and other auxiliary craft, while the failed five-inch system and the superseded 4.5-inch programme would not create comparable stocks.
- 1:15:08Tribals, Didos, and massed high-angle fireChapter
A high-angle Tribal battery blurs the line between destroyer and AA cruiser, raising questions about Dido construction, C-class conversions, and wartime production priorities.
- 1:18:52QuestionWhy did the Royal Navy not replace the Nelson class's 4.7-inch guns with 4.5-inch weapons?AnswerQ&A
The available 4.5-inch production was already demanded by new capital ships and aircraft carriers, leaving little capacity for a lower-priority refit.
- 1:19:23Commonwealth yards do not eliminate machinery bottlenecksNotable Point
Canadian and Australian production could spread a dual-purpose Tribal programme, but propulsion machinery rather than hull-building capacity remains a major constraint.
- 1:20:09QuestionWhy did the Royal Navy take so long to provide a high-angle replacement for destroyer 4.7-inch guns?AnswerQ&A
The 4.5-inch upper-deck mounting entered development late, was repeatedly deferred in pursuit of a better solution during wartime, and did not mature until the Daring class.
- 1:23:06QuestionHow would a developed British 4.7-inch/45 compare with the US Navy's 5-inch/38?AnswerQ&A
They were close enough to be credible peers if Britain redirected the money spent on the 4.5-inch system into improving the established 4.7-inch gun, ammunition, and mounting.
- 1:24:55QuestionWould new British cruisers use the dual-purpose 4.7-inch gun as their secondary battery?AnswerQ&A
Probably: if the 4.7-inch replaced the four-inch and 4.5-inch programmes, new cruisers from roughly 1936 onward would likely be designed around it, though not every older ship would necessarily be converted by 1939.
- 1:27:06QuestionDid the lack of high-angle destroyer guns reflect the limited dive-bombing threat of the 1920s?AnswerQ&A
No. Dive-bombing already existed, but the Air Ministry promoted level-bomber assumptions and exercises repeatedly directed aircraft at capital ships rather than their destroyer escorts.
- 1:30:33Norway: mutual support and pilot attritionChapter
In Norway, high-angle destroyer batteries could keep Gurkha inside her formation, strengthen mutual support, protect transports, and impose greater losses on experienced German aircrews.
- 1:36:09QuestionWhy did the Royal Navy not replace the Hawkins class's 7.5-inch battery with 4.5-inch guns?AnswerQ&A
The navy wanted to retire the ships, disliked the 7.5-inch system, and retained the class mainly because no immediate replacement could cover its role.
- 1:41:32How destroyers could treble a task group's high-angle fireNotable Point
A worked Mediterranean example shows that enabling every destroyer's main battery to fire at high angles could raise a task group's steep-angle gun count from roughly 32 to 93.
- 1:50:23QuestionWould changing calibre create problems for magazines, hoists, and ammunition storage?AnswerQ&A
Usually not on ships already designed for 4.7 or 4.5 inch, but conversions from four inch could require fewer rounds or rearranged storage and might justify retaining the smaller weapon.
- 1:52:53Operation Claymore: 14 high-angle guns or 32Notable Point
Operation Claymore supplies a concrete force comparison: a universal 4.7-inch battery could more than double the destroyer group's guns able to engage through the full high-angle arc.
- 1:56:48Why Didos struggled with topweight more than TribalsNotable Point
A layout comparison explains why wartime radar and light-AA additions strained Dido-class cruisers while Tribal-class destroyers retained more useful margin.
- 1:58:36Repulse trades 15 specialized guns for 12 dual-purpose gunsNotable Point
Repulse's 1933-36 refit could replace separate surface and AA four-inch batteries with six twin 4.7-inch mounts able to serve both roles.
- 2:04:18Better fleet AA would provoke enemy adaptationNotable Point
The counterfactual cannot freeze Axis tactics: heavier British AA losses could accelerate stand-off guided-bomb programmes and change the threat by 1942 or 1943.
- 2:07:41Force Z depends on carriers, fighters, and earlier lossesChapter
Force Z's fate changes through a cumulative chain involving surviving escorts, carrier availability, fighter coordination, ship manoeuvre, and Japanese luck. The gun alone is insufficient.
- 2:09:12QuestionWhat happened to gun mounts removed when destroyers received new anti-aircraft weapons?AnswerQ&A
They were reused on destroyers still moving through production rather than automatically being scrapped or transferred to merchant ships.
- 2:11:12QuestionHow would the 1943 arrival of proximity fuzes affect the alternate 4.7-inch fleet?AnswerQ&A
The 4.7-inch shell was large enough for a proximity fuze, and its wider fleet distribution would let the Royal Navy extend the new capability to more ships quickly.
- 2:11:36QuestionWould 4.7-inch dual-purpose guns prevent the Royal Navy's early carrier losses?AnswerQ&A
No. Courageous and Glorious were lost to submarine and surface threats, while Ark Royal's loss turned on damage-control failures that a better AA battery would not correct.
- 2:25:50QuestionWas Britain spending about half of its GDP on defence in 1938?AnswerQ&A
No. A historical-statistics table gives 259 million for public administration and defence against GDP of 4,932 million, far below 50 percent.
- 2:29:12QuestionWhy not convert the Royal Navy to the American 5-inch/38 instead?AnswerQ&A
Converting the fleet during wartime would impose an enormous logistical and industrial burden, while British industry was capable of developing a suitable domestic weapon from its existing 4.7-inch base.
- 2:31:08Mount assembly was not the same as turret productionNotable Point
A production discussion separates the rapid assembly of an open destroyer mount from the manufacture and delivery of an enclosed capital-ship turret batch.
- 2:38:48QuestionCould the Brewster Buffalo fighters in Malaya have protected Force Z from the Japanese strike?AnswerQ&A
Possibly: fighters remained available, but a message that bomber and reconnaissance support was unavailable was understood as meaning that no air support could be requested.
- 2:43:13Wartime production freezes earlier development choicesChapter
The closing argument links the feasible 4.7-inch alternative to a broader lesson: war scales mature designs more readily than it invents complex new systems from scratch.
- 2:56:30Why Battle-class destroyers reached the war so lateNotable Point
The Battle class illustrates how a ship programme could be delayed by dependencies on both American fire-control equipment and the British 4.5-inch installation.
- 3:00:49QuestionWould a dual-purpose 4.7-inch gun prevent the falls of Crete or Malaya?AnswerQ&A
No. It could reduce naval losses, but it could not repair the ground-command, staffing, and logistics failures that determined those campaigns.
- 3:04:37Singapore's reservoir and delayed scorched earthNotable Point
The closing discussion connects Singapore's reservoir, Japanese supply exhaustion, and a delayed scorched-earth decision to the campaign's ground-level turning points.