Notable Point · 17:07-21:15

Biomass lag and the timber-planning analogy

A modern biomass comparison demonstrates the same mismatch between building infrastructure and waiting decades for managed forests to mature.

Notes

A comment about American timber exports and European biomass demand illustrates planning lag. The account contrasts American producers who expanded managed forests faster than domestic biomass use with European states that invested in consumption before enough local feedstock matured. Britain had planted biomass forests, but too late to meet immediate demand. A wooden fleet faced the same coordination problem over a much longer span because forests, transport, industrial plant, and future demand all had to mature together. Decisions based on one energy or strategic assumption could leave a state exposed decades later when that assumption changed.