Scottish independence, Faslane, and naval shipbuilding

Would Scottish independence lead to a long lease of Faslane similar to Hong Kong?

A lease is possible but judged unlikely, and independence would also reopen where British warship contracts and yards must be located.

A long Faslane lease is possible, although it is considered unlikely. Support for the Scottish National Party does not translate consistently into support for independence; many voters appear to want stronger representation of Scottish interests within the existing union. Naval construction would become part of the settlement because current contracts require work in British territory. Yards now in Scotland could lose future orders if they were outside that territory, while other parts of the United Kingdom could compete for the work. Basing, industrial policy, and electoral politics would therefore be tied together in any serious negotiation.