What comfort is there for French and German observers of FCAS, and could one country instead join GCAP?
Short answerA settlement remains possible. Moving into GCAP would require agreement with partners whose industrial shares are already allocated.
NotesThe FCAS difficulty discussed here concerns which national industry gets to build the aircraft. French and German demands for employment and industrial capacity can conflict within the same joint programme. Possible outcomes include a settlement, one partner continuing independently, or a partner seeking entry into GCAP. None is settled in this forecast. Britain, Japan and Italy already have a GCAP workshare arrangement, so a newcomer would have to offer a contribution that justified changing it.