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What do the fleets look like if they achieve full pre-WWII Modernisation? Patreon Premier

Study What do the fleets look like if they achieve full pre-WWII Modernisation? Patreon Premier, a Dr. Alex Clarke video from 4 Aug 2024, with 31 time notes. Topics include Alternate History, Force Structure, Imperial…

Date
Runtime1:47:52
Guide points31 time notes

Time notes

  1. 0:20
    Modernisation plans do not stand still

    An extended peace produces a continuing naval arms race because each construction programme reacts to the others.

    Chapter
  2. 7:52
    QuestionHow would the combat fleets change if the major navies completed their pre-war modernisation plans before World War II?Answer

    A delay of roughly five years produces larger, more modern fleets. They also differ from the original plans because every navy reacts to the others' construction and technology.

    Q&A
  3. 10:00
    British carrier construction beyond Implacable

    Continued rival construction would encourage Britain to order and refine more carriers after Implacable and Indefatigable.

    Notable Point
  4. 12:08
    Why civilian industry sustains the arms race

    The delay favours economies that can keep making civilian goods, machine tools, and factory equipment while paying for rearmament.

    Notable Point
  5. 17:22
    France: fast capital ships, carriers, and Mediterranean deterrence

    France would probably favour fast, heavily armed capital ships and additional carriers to deter Italy and contribute a task force alongside Britain.

    Chapter
  6. 25:43
    Japan: qualitative superiority versus shipyard bottlenecks

    Japan's pursuit of exceptionally large battleships could create a gun-calibre race, but the same ships risk consuming the industrial capacity needed for a balanced fleet.

    Chapter
  7. 26:09
    Twenty-inch guns: loading cycles and range

    Japan's proposed 20-inch guns could trade heavier shells for slower fire and less range than smaller weapons.

    Notable Point
  8. 30:43
    Shinano as a battleship and Japan's construction choices

    Shinano could remain a battleship in an extended peace, while further giant ships would restrict Japan's other major building programmes.

    Notable Point
  9. 35:41
    Who leads an Anglo-American war against Japan?

    Japan's fleet problem includes coalition politics: whichever Anglo-American power enters first may set the strategy that the other must join.

    Notable Point
  10. 37:13
    Italy: completing the Littorios and adding carrier aviation

    An extended peace would likely complete Impero, open a follow-on battleship programme, and make an Italian carrier increasingly difficult to avoid.

    Chapter
  11. 43:43
    Britain's three-power problem and the Suez lifeline

    Britain must plan against Germany, Italy, and Japan as one connected problem because the Mediterranean route sustains reinforcement of the Far East.

    Notable Point
  12. 45:19
    Germany: Plan Z's quality-quantity trap

    Germany may field a carrier and more Plan Z ships, but repeated design leaps and limited naval infrastructure make matching rival fleet numbers increasingly difficult.

    Chapter
  13. 46:01
    Imperial armies let Britain prioritise sea and air power

    Britain can concentrate on naval and air expansion because the Indian Army and Dominion forces add deployable land power across the Empire.

    Notable Point
  14. 47:24
    German shipyard readiness and the cost of changing designs

    Commissioning ships and yards before testing is complete, then changing designs, reduces the output Germany can obtain from limited infrastructure.

    Notable Point
  15. 53:04
    Germany's balanced peacetime fleet

    Without wartime emergency expansion, Germany is more likely to continue Plan Z as a balanced fleet than to reproduce the historical mass U-boat programme.

    Notable Point
  16. 57:20
    United States: industrial scale changes the carrier race

    With more peacetime development, the United States could test early Essex-class carriers and move toward a Midway-like design before committing to mass production.

    Chapter
  17. 58:59
    Why British and American carriers would still diverge

    A delayed war may move both navies toward larger armoured carriers, but their operating geography still produces different balances of armour and aircraft capacity.

    Notable Point
  18. 1:03:38
    Peacetime procurement changes Anglo-American industry

    Without an immediate war, Britain buys less from American factories, expands more production at home, and changes the industrial path of both navies.

    Notable Point
  19. 1:06:05
    Soviet construction adds uncertainty to the naval race

    Uncertain Soviet building plans could stimulate rival construction and force Germany to retain ships in the Baltic.

    Notable Point
  20. 1:07:34
    Capital ships and light carriers for Australia and Canada

    Removing treaty limits could let Australia and Canada acquire reconditioned capital ships and light carriers, with time to train before war.

    Notable Point
  21. 1:11:25
    Colonial escorts and joint imperial fleets

    Local corvettes and destroyer flotillas could widen convoy protection, while exercises and joint squadrons connect the expanding imperial navies.

    Notable Point
  22. 1:13:38
    Britain: preserving numbers while expanding fast capital ships and carriers

    Britain's broad industrial base supports a fleet that keeps older capital ships useful while adding Vanguards, Lions, carriers, destroyers, escorts, and submarines.

    Chapter
  23. 1:18:16
    Britain's two-tier destroyers and global escort network

    The projected Royal Navy pairs large fleet destroyers with simpler mass-produced escorts, giving its global strategy both combat power and numerical coverage.

    Chapter
  24. 1:20:37
    Twenty-five capital ships and the choices behind Dominion transfers

    A projected twenty-five-ship Royal Navy combines fourteen new capital ships with eleven retained vessels, while later completions create options for Australia and Canada.

    Notable Point
  25. 1:25:47
    Strategic depth for Japan, an imperial lifeline for Britain

    Japan relies on ocean approaches for strategic depth, while Britain relies on sea routes as the internal communications that hold its Empire together.

    Notable Point
  26. 1:27:45
    British responses to very large guns and imperial logistics

    A successor to Lion could retain 16-inch guns or move to nine 18-inch weapons, with ammunition supply becoming harder as more calibres enter service.

    Notable Point
  27. 1:29:41
    Minor powers join the naval race

    Dutch, Swedish, Finnish, Greek, Turkish, and other smaller fleets become consequential when a five-year delay gives them time to order, build, and deploy new forces.

    Chapter
  28. 1:34:01
    Radar and automation reshape the delayed-war fleets

    Five extra years allow radar, radar-directed fire control, aircraft, and automatic naval guns to mature before fighting begins.

    Notable Point
  29. 1:35:34
    Swedish national service, delegated command, and Norwegian rearmament

    Sweden combines demanding equipment with short-service personnel trusted to act independently, while its fleet expansion could encourage Norway to rearm.

    Notable Point
  30. 1:38:39
    Why Britain and America gain most from the delay

    A delayed war creates larger fleets everywhere, while Britain and the United States gain especially from their industrial base, reserves, and time to train and improve designs.

    Chapter
  31. 1:39:57
    What a five-year delay to World War I reveals about carriers

    Delaying World War I to 1919 could give Britain time to develop carriers for Zeppelin interception before hostilities begin.

    Notable Point