An immediate war between China and the United States is considered unlikely in this January 2021 assessment. The concern is that Western governments have lost the habit of sustained strategic thinking. China is judged to have gained an advantage by giving more recent attention to long-term planning.
Notable Point · 7:39-8:13
US-China competition and the loss of long-term planning
An immediate US-China war is considered unlikely in January 2021, while China's greater attention to long-term planning is treated as a strategic advantage.