How might Japan respond if the United States retained four Lexington battlecruisers?
Short answerBritain would likely seek four G3s, and Japan would probably pursue comparable Amagi- or Kii-type ships rather than accept the imbalance.
NotesReciprocal fleet politics drives the counterfactual: if the United States retained four Lexingtons, Britain would likely press for four G3s. Japan would then resist accepting a force structure in which both competitors possessed new fast capital ships. Amagi- or Kii-type construction would offer a route to restoring the balance, probably at the expense of retaining the older Kongos. One treaty concession could therefore trigger linked demands across American, British, and Japanese programmes.