The panel rejects the idea that Japanese aircraft would return home with weapons merely because the desired battleships or carriers were absent. Warships headed the target list, but dry-dock gates and other naval infrastructure remained useful secondary objectives. A fixed third-wave plan was impractical because commanders could not know the damage achieved, aircraft losses, or whether missing American carriers were nearby. Recovering the first waves would therefore trigger a decision between further attack and preparation for a carrier battle. The exchange uses Pearl Harbor to show why doctrine and experienced staffs can provide options without scripting every contingency in advance.
Notable Point · 1:46:24-1:49:26
Why Pearl Harbor target priorities did not require a fixed third-wave script
Primary warship targets, secondary infrastructure, uncertain losses, and missing carriers all made later strikes a contingent command decision.