Q&A · 5:00:03-5:00:58

A 1980 NATO-Warsaw Pact fleet swap and the maintenance problem

The hypothetical exchange creates maintenance and carrier-allocation problems as soon as the fleets change hands.

Question

What if NATO and Warsaw Pact navies swapped fleets in 1980?

Short answer

NATO would seek new carriers, the Warsaw Pact would struggle with maintaining its acquisitions, and the former Soviet carriers would create an allocation dispute.

Notes

A fleet exchange in 1980 would leave NATO navies wanting to rebuild their carrier capacity. The Warsaw Pact would face the problem of maintaining the large foreign fleet it had acquired. On the NATO side, allocating the former Soviet carriers would create a dispute between British experience with vertical-takeoff aircraft and American demand after losing its carriers. The suggested British willingness to let the Americans take on the expense is explicitly offered as a cynical guess. Exchanging hulls therefore does not exchange the organizations and budgets needed to operate them.