What if Spain built one of its modern CATOBAR carrier concepts?
Short answerSpain would gain a powerful but expensive global-presence asset, and the program would likely stimulate Italian and eventually Turkish carrier development.
NotesSpain's shipbuilding experience could support a CATOBAR carrier, but operating it would require substantial investment in the air group and supporting infrastructure. Hawkeye aircraft are suggested for airborne early warning under an arrangement similar to France's. The ship would expand Spain's overseas presence and give the European Union another carrier option. A Spanish program could encourage Italy to follow within about a decade because its yards and recent carrier construction provide a starting point. Turkey is expected to want a comparable ship, with a suggested two- or three-decade path reflecting less settled requirements and the work needed to establish the supporting infrastructure. Those timelines are speculative judgments within the scenario.