Why did Britain think the US Navy would replace the P-3 Orion by about 1970?
Short answerBecause the US Navy also expected an early jet replacement and communicated that assumption to Britain.
NotesThe British judgment did not arise in isolation. American planning also presented Orion as a stopgap before a 707-class jet conversion. Britain accepted that forecast while pursuing the specialized jet Nimrod concept. Both sides underestimated how durable the P-3 would become and how long a practical jet successor would take.