Notable Point · 3:08:35-3:15:49

A less insecure Japan may stay in the treaty system

Giving Japan meaningful construction rights may reduce the insecurity that made the historical treaty order increasingly unstable.

Notes

The proposed system still limits Japan relative to Britain and the United States, but it gives Tokyo visible gains, a continuing building programme, and a stake in enforcing the rules on others. Security perceptions shape strategy: a navy that feels less cornered may have less incentive to pursue a desperate all-or-nothing fleet. The treaty restrains the larger Anglo-American fleets as well, making continued membership a source of security rather than only a humiliation. Japan might instead seek a balanced force, cruiser and torpedo advantages, or diplomatic leverage between Britain and America.