Q&A · 35:58-36:53

Somerville's night strike in the Indian Ocean Raid

The Indian Ocean Raid becomes a high-leverage counterfactual because a successful British night attack could have badly damaged Japan's carrier force.

Question

What is the most decisive British naval what-if?

Short answer

He chooses the Indian Ocean Raid, where Somerville's strike force might have caught the Japanese carriers at night and inflicted a major reversal.

Notes

The Indian Ocean Raid offers a twentieth-century encounter capable of changing the surviving force balance more sharply than many age-of-sail battles. Somerville's squadron had a chance to find the Japanese force at night. A successful strike could have placed Japan's carriers in a very difficult position. The result would reshape the carrier balance far beyond the immediate engagement.