What does the immediate future of carrier aviation look like as uncrewed aircraft improve?
Short answerA hybrid carrier with mixed crewed and uncrewed aircraft is more likely than a fully uncrewed air group for the foreseeable future.
NotesThe transition is likely to be evolutionary rather than absolute. Crewed aircraft retain advantages that major powers will not discard immediately. Uncrewed strike aircraft and loyal wingmen can expand reach, mass, and risk tolerance around that crewed core. A fully uncrewed carrier air group may eventually appear, but the mixed model is the practical near-term step.