National nuclear programmes are expected to continue separately in this counterfactual. Nuclear weapons and nuclear-powered submarines are not expected on the timescale under consideration. The stronger expectation for submarines is continued improvement in diesel engines and diesel-electric propulsion. The possibility of boats described as true SSKs remains tentative.
Notable Point · 1:08:13-1:08:49
Diesel-electric progress continues without early nuclear boats
The forecast favours improved diesel-electric boats while national nuclear programmes continue without an early naval breakthrough.