Would four CVA-01s make a carrier-capable Tornado more likely?
Short answerThe preferred strike aircraft is a naval Jaguar, alongside F-18 fighters and E-2 airborne warning; a carrier Tornado would be costly and maintenance-heavy.
NotesA naval Jaguar is the preferred Anglo-French successor to the Buccaneer, avoiding the Tornado's swing-wing maintenance burden. Buying F-18s could reduce unit costs, while a joint Jaguar program would preserve a national aircraft project. One proposed air group combines a Jaguar squadron, an F-18 squadron, and E-2 Hawkeyes. A shared replacement for the Gannet and French fixed-wing ASW aircraft would reach farther from the carrier than helicopters, although the Royal Navy was already moving toward an all-helicopter ASW force. Four British carriers and several French ships could make that fixed-wing fleet economical. Further purchases by Australia, India, or Italy could enlarge the production run and bring costs down.