How Iran might rebuild its fleet

How could Iran rebuild its badly depleted navy after the current conflict ends?

The panel makes its proposed mix of submarines, mine-warfare capability, and frigates conditional on the postwar government and suppliers, while warning that bypass routes could reduce Hormuz's influence.

The panel makes fleet reconstruction conditional on the government in power after the conflict and on the suppliers willing to work with it. Its suggested force includes conventional submarines, mine-warfare capability, and a limited frigate component. The reasoning depends on the geography of Hormuz: access to the Gulf passes through the strait, but shipping is not using it as a transit route between oceans. The discussion therefore considers whether new pipelines could divert some flows and reduce the strait's influence. It presents a risk that closing the route would accelerate efforts to bypass it, rather than guaranteeing lasting bargaining power.