Q&A · 2:19:59-2:23:52

If Argentina sank a British carrier in the Falklands War

A Falklands counterfactual tests the campaign's dependence on carrier air cover and the procurement shock of losing a through-deck cruiser.

Question

What changes if the Argentine carrier sinks one or both British carriers before being sunk herself?

Short answer

Losing both British carriers likely ends or pauses the campaign; even one loss would trigger relentless retaliation and a postwar drive for larger catapult carriers with airborne early warning.

Notes

The speakers disagree over whether the task force would withdraw after losing a single carrier, but agree that losing both removes the air cover needed to continue. The Argentine carrier would be hunted down, and American support could become more direct if the British campaign faltered. Politically, the loss would discredit the through-deck-cruiser concept and make catapult carriers with robust airborne early warning the central postwar lesson.