Q&A ยท 23:06-23:43

Borodinos complicate Japan's treaty calculation

Japan might still accept a construction holiday, but Soviet Borodinos would make Russian participation and modernization limits harder to ignore.

Question

Would Japan accept the Washington Naval Treaty while completed Borodinos remained outside its limits?

Short answer

Possibly, because the economic case for a building holiday remained strong, but Japan would want the Soviet ships covered by the negotiations.

Notes

The economic incentive for Japan to stop an expensive capital-ship race would remain powerful. Completed Borodinos would nevertheless create a regional threat outside the treaty if the Soviet Union did not participate. Soviet modernization or a new follow-on battlecruiser could then compel Japan to upgrade its own force. An arms-control agreement is only as stable as its treatment of the navies that matter in each signatory's theater.