The counterfactual remains grounded while it follows carrier designs and intended uses repeatedly studied by the Royal Navy. Each additional altered decision multiplies the number of possible later outcomes. Once the branches no longer trace back to those recurring studies, a precise forecast becomes unsupported fantasy.
Notable Point · 1:41:58-1:42:30
Where the carrier counterfactual stops being useful
The scenario stays useful while it follows carrier designs and intended uses repeatedly studied by the Royal Navy; farther downstream, specific outcomes become unreliable.