Would France continuing the war make Malta a larger and earlier Axis target?
Short answerNot decisively; Malta's cliffs, defended terrain, and the Axis shortage of heavy bombers still make invasion exceptionally difficult.
NotesMalta's cliffs, restricted landing terrain, defenses, and armed population make both amphibious and airborne assault hazardous. Paratroops would risk injury on the ground or landing directly among fortified positions and defenders. The lack of a strong German or Italian strategic bomber force limits the ability to suppress the island before an invasion. Axis aircraft would also be needed over France, Greece, and other active fronts, making concentration against Malta even harder.