Could the United States seize Gibraltar in War Plan Red to break British imperial logistics?
Short answerOnly at extreme risk; the expedition would need a major fleet and amphibious train, then face a fortified siege while British fleets cut its supply and withdrawal routes.
NotesTreating Gibraltar as the hinge of British logistics does not make it an easy target. A US expedition would have to cross the Atlantic with troops, tankers, escorts, and enough fleet strength to fight both the Mediterranean Fleet and British reinforcements. The Home Fleet could position itself between the attackers and their route home while British night strikes exploited a force whose location was known. Even reaching the rock would begin a costly siege against defenses built and repeatedly improved for that purpose. Capturing Gibraltar would still leave the expedition needing repair, resupply, and a way back through converging British forces, so the operation risks trading a major share of the US fleet for a temporary lodgment.