Would the United States enter the First World War without the sinking of Lusitania and the intercepted German approach to Mexico?
Short answerContinued neutrality is more likely, with the United States trying to influence events from the sidelines unless another overwhelming cause for intervention appears.
NotesThe dominant American position would be letting Europe fight rather than joining either side. The Allies probably had some advantage in sympathy but warns that scholarship often magnifies pro-German opinion because it is the more counterintuitive research subject. Without a major trigger, Washington would attempt to shape the settlement from outside the war and might discover that belligerents had little reason to accept its direction.