Would it be wise for the United States to fight China in defence of Taiwan?
Short answerWar would be bad for both sides, but refusing to defend Taiwan could also weaken the alliances built on American security promises.
NotesA war between the United States and China over Taiwan would be damaging to both sides, with no good military outcome assumed in the exchange. Refusing to act would carry a different cost by weakening confidence in American security promises. Allies who depend on those commitments could conclude that the United States would also abandon them under pressure. The question therefore links Taiwan's defence to the wider credibility of the alliance system rather than treating it as a bilateral contest alone.