Q&A · 1:01:00-1:02:41

Uncertainty over US intervention complicates invasion planning

An invasion plan would have to consider both American intervention and non-intervention when the response remained uncertain.

Deterrence Strategic Planning Taiwan United States

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Question

Can China assume that the United States would stay out of a Taiwan invasion?

Short answer

Both intervention and non-intervention remain possible in the comparison.

Notes

The invasion-planning comparison considers both US intervention and non-intervention. A firm expectation either way would simplify those assumptions. An uncertain response leaves both possibilities open. No decision by the United States is established in this exchange.