Q&A ยท 1:14:19-1:16:12

How a stronger Turkish battlefleet changes neutrality and naval treaties

A Turkish fleet at seventy percent of Italy's could invite pressure to enter the war and provoke demands for larger treaty allowances.

Question

What would follow if Turkey built a navy seventy percent the size of Italy's before the Second World War?

Short answer

Turkey would face pressure to join the war, while the buildup could prompt other powers to demand higher treaty allowances or undermine the treaty system.

Notes

A Turkish fleet at seventy percent of Italy's would be large enough to affect the eastern Mediterranean and Black Sea. The estimate is three or four battleships accompanied by cruisers, destroyers and smaller vessels. Both sides would want that force involved, making continued neutrality difficult in this scenario. Building it during the treaty era could also give Britain and Italy grounds to demand higher allowances. The result could be a changed treaty system, or its earlier breakdown, potentially as early as the first London treaty.