Was the merchant ship in the Tsingtao Incident probably smuggling weapons to Chinese Nationalists?
Short answerProbably not; the search produced no public evidence of weapons, making ordinary customs evasion and direct trade with China more plausible.
NotesA viewer asks whether the merchant ship at the centre of the Tsingtao Incident was probably carrying weapons for Chinese Nationalists. That was the Japanese allegation, but the ship was searched and no weapons or traces of weapons were publicised. Ordinary customs evasion, including trade in alcohol or other goods directly with Chinese customers, is therefore considered more likely. The reasoning asks what evidence Japanese authorities would have displayed if their strongest allegation had been substantiated.