Could a small Japanese strike have changed Operation Tan No. 2?

Could a storm, navigational luck, and a small Japanese aircraft force have made Operation Tan No. 2 succeed?

Luck could help, but the force was too small to produce a decisive result; a successful attack needed much greater aircraft mass and a more credible delivery plan.

Weather and surprise can matter, but they cannot replace sufficient striking mass. Attrition before the target could reduce a nominal force of fifty-four aircraft to only a handful of effective attackers. Using the observed losses as a rough guide, perhaps five aircraft would arrive and three would hit, far too little to devastate the American carrier fleet. A concentrated bombing and kamikaze attack by longer-range twin-engined aircraft might have offered Japan a more credible alternative.