The hypothetical timetable allows forty-eight hours between deciding on an operation and launching it, followed by seventy-two hours to take Taiwan. Those compressed stages are intended to precede an organized international response. The comparison with Russia's expectations in Ukraine questions the assumption that a defender will collapse on schedule. Taiwan's long development of a distinct identity adds another reason for doubting a rapid political collapse.
Notable Point · 29:31-30:41
A rapid invasion could try to outrun international coordination
The political timetable depends on both rapid mobilization and rapid success, leaving little room for resistance that lasts longer than expected.