Q&A ยท 8:27:27-8:30:20

Southern Rhodesia joining South Africa in 1910

The counterfactual separates a larger state's possible economic resources from problems attributed to political patronage.

Question

What if Southern Rhodesia had joined South Africa through the 1910 union?

Short answer

An eventual end to apartheid on a broadly similar timetable is expected here, while possible economic gains are distinguished from institutional problems.

Notes

The proposed union is expected to leave apartheid's eventual collapse broadly on its historical timetable. A larger combined state is imagined with stronger economic resources if it stays together. Alex Clarke nevertheless attributes later difficulties to patronage and the priority given to political loyalty over ability. He treats those problems as institutional features that can occur in many countries. The account then connects the difficulties of decolonisation to the structures inherited from colonial administration.