Would a Russian revolution occur before 1920 if the war were delayed?
Short answerIt is considered unlikely because the regime would retain stronger forces of repression, while reforms might have time to reduce unrest.
NotesThe answer rests on the continued strength of the forces available to suppress revolt. Without their wartime losses, the imperial government would retain more ability to hold unrest down. Existing reforms might also have time to take effect and make revolution less likely. This remains a conditional forecast, with no guarantee of lasting stability.