Completing the entire 1947 programme on schedule is treated as implausible. Their novelty might get the Project 71 carriers built, while roughly six Project 23 battleships and no more than three Project 69 battlecruisers form a more credible capital-ship result. The estimate reflects continuing Soviet industrialisation, yard limits, and actual construction tempo. This reduced fleet would still be large enough to trigger reactions abroad. Six battleships and three battlecruisers would change foreign planning even with most paper targets unfulfilled.
Notable Point · 39:28-40:16
A realistic ceiling on the Soviet fleet planned for 1947
A reduced 1947 fleet still gives Soviet yards enough capital ships to trigger an international response.