How would U.S. naval strategy change if the Philippines became a state after the Second World War?
Short answerThe Navy would be more forward-based, and South China Sea disputes would directly involve U.S. territory and waters.
NotesA willing Philippine state would move the American defensive perimeter deep into the western Pacific. Bases and fleet posture would have to protect citizens and territory rather than reassure an ally from a distance. Chinese pressure in the South China Sea would also confront an American exclusive economic zone, making a forceful U.S. response more likely. The scenario therefore changes both everyday basing requirements and the escalation threshold for maritime disputes.