How long could the Philippines hold if American air power were not lost immediately?
Short answerMuch longer if senior command remained active and the air groups stayed alert, because the historical collapse was not caused by the Japanese strike alone.
NotesThe rapid destruction of air power in the Philippines cannot be attributed only to Japanese action. The senior American command structure collapsed at the critical moment, with MacArthur's inactivity singled out. Colonels, lower officers, and some generals were alert enough, while the greatest failures sat higher in the chain. A more active headquarters and air groups kept ready could therefore prolong the campaign even if geography still made ultimate victory difficult.