Notable Point · 2:05:41-2:06:37

Perceived naval imbalance can encourage war

A comment on the proposed Type 32 becomes a broader argument that deterrence depends on how states perceive the balance of naval power and presence.

Notes

The proposed Type 32 is read as recognition that a naval arms race was already under way. The strategic concern is perception: a state that thinks it has gained a decisive advantage may become more willing to use force. Rough balance in power and presence can make war look less promising, even when fleets differ in ship counts. In this argument, new frigates contribute to deterrence by denying an opponent the expectation of an easy advantage.