Without NATO and American standardisation around 12.75-inch weapons, might Britain adopt the 18-inch Mark 30 Mod 1?
Short answerPossibly, but the estimate puts the chance at only about thirty per cent.
NotesThe counterfactual removes NATO and American pressure toward 12.75-inch anti-submarine weapon standardisation. Britain might then have adopted the 18-inch Mark 30 Mod 1, given its continuing preference for 18-inch torpedoes. The estimate gives that outcome only about a thirty per cent chance. Calibre choice remains contingent on alliance standards and procurement history rather than making the larger weapon inevitable.