If Japan won Midway after sinking three US carriers, could it advance on Australia?
Short answerIt might reach Darwin, but logistics would likely prevent a sustained advance much farther into Australia.
NotesA more favorable outcome at Midway would remove American carriers without creating the shipping, escorts, and supply capacity Japan needed for a continental advance. Japanese resources were already near their limit. A force might reach Darwin, but distance and the burden of maintaining the route would prevent a sustained movement much farther into Australia. Success in a carrier battle would not create the logistical system required to exploit it across an enormous theatre.