Notable Point ยท 0:00-2:35

Indomitable's grounding created a narrow historical hinge

A delay of just over a month after grounding off Jamaica kept the carrier from Force Z, even though modest fighter cover could have challenged the unescorted Japanese bombers.

Notes

HMS Indomitable was meant to deploy east but grounded during work-up off Jamaica, delaying her by just over a month. That small accident kept what was probably the Eastern Fleet's first realistically worked-up carrier from reaching Force Z. The Japanese bombers attacked near the edge of their range without fighter escorts, so even Sea Gladiators would have added a credible interception layer. Fighters would not make the force invulnerable, but they could disrupt bomber formations before the shipboard defenses engaged them. The counterfactual therefore turns on a narrow change in ship availability rather than an invented force.