A broad Indo-Pacific alliance would gain reach and coordination costs

What would happen if the United States formed a NATO-like Indo-Pacific alliance including major Asian and Pacific partners?

Russia would object more than adjust, China would face broader deterrence, European states might join, and the enlarged coalition would bear serious coordination costs.

In this 2024 counterfactual, Russia would protest a US-led Indo-Pacific alliance but would have limited reason or capacity to change its force posture directly. China would face the larger strategic effect because a regional conflict could automatically involve many Asian and possibly European powers. Canada and other states belonging to overlapping alliances would acquire expensive duplicate commitments, while France and Britain might seek entry as Pacific actors. The organizations might remain formally separate from NATO, yet major members with seats in both would inevitably connect their decisions. A larger coalition would strengthen deterrence and threaten access to European markets, but it would also make operational coordination increasingly difficult.