Q&A · 2:00:20-2:03:50

Why seizing Macau would be strategically disastrous

The proposed recovery of Macau is rejected as an indefensible land-war problem tied too closely to mainland Chinese forces and infrastructure.

Question

Could a coalition take and hold Macau as part of a conflict with China?

Short answer

No: Macau is too integrated with mainland China and too hard to defend, making any attempt a likely strategic and economic disaster.

Notes

Macau differs from Hong Kong because of its direct land connection and the difficulty of creating a defensible perimeter. Any assault would confront nearby Chinese forces and risk exhausting anti-tank weapons against a much larger opponent. A successful initial landing would not make the resulting position sustainable.