Q&A · 1:34:21-1:36:04

Could frigate fleets grow again?

A tentative expectation of larger frigate fleets is tied to concern about states feeling weak under pressure.

Question

Do you think the number of frigates and navies as a whole will grow?

Short answer

The tentative expectation is growth as governments reconsider earlier assumptions of lasting peace and the risks of feeling weak under pressure.

Notes

Frigate fleets and navies as a whole appear likely to grow in this tentative forecast. The reasoning concerns the failure of earlier expectations that international relations would remain broadly peaceful, without asserting that the risk of war has necessarily increased. A confident state is expected to assess threats more calmly, while a government that feels cornered may act irrationally. This interpretation links future fleet investment to how states respond to pressure.