Notable Point · 38:57-41:11

Four or five flight decks are readiness arithmetic, not aggrandizement

Carrier numbers follow the same availability arithmetic as the continuous deterrent: several hulls are needed to cover Atlantic and Far Eastern commitments through maintenance and refit.

Notes

Duffy's call for four or five carriers follows from availability rather than institutional ambition. The same arithmetic applies to a continuous ballistic-missile-submarine patrol, where several hulls are needed to guarantee that one is at sea. Five flight decks offer a practical chance of keeping two available for different roles, whereas a smaller fleet loses resilience during maintenance and refit. A recurring Far Eastern task group would add to the need for an Atlantic capability at the same time. A government cannot assume it will choose the date of a crisis or war, so force structure must survive inconvenient timing.