Q&A · 3:47:34-3:49:07

The wars that might replace World War II

A delayed-war counterfactual separates the European crisis from enduring Japanese and Soviet strategic pressures that could still produce major naval and continental wars.

Question

If Weimar Germany survives and World War II does not begin as it did historically, is the Cold War inevitable or does another major war emerge?

Short answer

In the proposed scenario, conflict with Japan could still develop over China and the Pacific, while Soviet strategic pressures could produce another European war or pressure farther south.

Notes

The counterfactual removes a Nazi-led German war while keeping other states' strategic problems in view. Japan's campaign in China could still create conflict with Britain and the United States. Soviet expansion is interpreted here through a search for defensible frontiers, with Poland and Finland as examples and possible pressure toward Iran, the Persian Gulf, or India. Under those assumptions, a surviving Weimar Republic would leave other routes to major war open.