Public discussion often emphasizes Chinese human-intelligence access inside Taiwan, but the contest is reciprocal and Taiwanese networks have also penetrated China. Both sides have studied the same invasion problem for decades, reducing the value of assuming that one possesses a decisive secret plan. The stakes are also asymmetric: Taiwan is collecting for national survival, while Beijing ties the issue to political achievement and perceptions of success.
Notable Point · 1:51:57-1:52:55
Cross-strait intelligence penetration works in both directions
China has penetrated Taiwan, but Taiwan has also collected inside China, complicating the secrecy and surprise required for an invasion.