After a German victory over France, could Germany have avoided invading Russia, consolidated Europe, and built a durable position?
Short answerOnly with radically different leadership, a sustainable occupation strategy, and concessions - especially naval disarmament - likely too severe for the German system to accept.
NotesSuch an outcome would require much more than a different operational choice. Germany would need leadership capable of managing a vast occupation burden and an economy able to stabilize the conquered territory. Germany could not readily restrain Japan because it lacked meaningful Far Eastern influence, while a US-Japanese war would likely draw Britain and America together. Those two infrastructure powers could share technology and industrial capacity even if the United States did not formally join the European war. A peace acceptable to Britain would likely require German naval disarmament so extensive that it would undermine Germany's wider strategic system.